Trader consensus prices a 89.5% chance of no US annexation of foreign territory in 2026, driven by the absence of viable diplomatic or legislative pathways amid international opposition and constitutional hurdles requiring congressional approval. Early-year flashpoints, including President Trump's January demands for Greenland control and Rep. Randy Fine's H.R.7012 Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act—introduced January 12 and stalled in the House Foreign Affairs Committee without hearings, cosponsors, or further action—have yielded no progress. Recent developments, such as US-Denmark negotiations for expanded military basing access in Greenland reported in early April, signal cooperative security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. No other territorial claims, from Panama Canal to Canada, have advanced beyond rhetoric, reinforcing structural barriers to resolution by year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$19,628 Vol.
$19,628 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$19,628 Vol.
$19,628 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 89.5% chance of no US annexation of foreign territory in 2026, driven by the absence of viable diplomatic or legislative pathways amid international opposition and constitutional hurdles requiring congressional approval. Early-year flashpoints, including President Trump's January demands for Greenland control and Rep. Randy Fine's H.R.7012 Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act—introduced January 12 and stalled in the House Foreign Affairs Committee without hearings, cosponsors, or further action—have yielded no progress. Recent developments, such as US-Denmark negotiations for expanded military basing access in Greenland reported in early April, signal cooperative security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. No other territorial claims, from Panama Canal to Canada, have advanced beyond rhetoric, reinforcing structural barriers to resolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volumen
$19,628Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 89.5% chance of no US annexation of foreign territory in 2026, driven by the absence of viable diplomatic or legislative pathways amid international opposition and constitutional hurdles requiring congressional approval. Early-year flashpoints, including President Trump's January demands for Greenland control and Rep. Randy Fine's H.R.7012 Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act—introduced January 12 and stalled in the House Foreign Affairs Committee without hearings, cosponsors, or further action—have yielded no progress. Recent developments, such as US-Denmark negotiations for expanded military basing access in Greenland reported in early April, signal cooperative security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. No other territorial claims, from Panama Canal to Canada, have advanced beyond rhetoric, reinforcing structural barriers to resolution by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$19,628Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 89.5% chance of no US annexation of foreign territory in 2026, driven by the absence of viable diplomatic or legislative pathways amid international opposition and constitutional hurdles requiring congressional approval. Early-year flashpoints, including President Trump's January demands for Greenland control and Rep. Randy Fine's H.R.7012 Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act—introduced January 12 and stalled in the House Foreign Affairs Committee without hearings, cosponsors, or further action—have yielded no progress. Recent developments, such as US-Denmark negotiations for expanded military basing access in Greenland reported in early April, signal cooperative security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. No other territorial claims, from Panama Canal to Canada, have advanced beyond rhetoric, reinforcing structural barriers to resolution by year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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