Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability that no artificial intelligence system will be criminally charged before 2027, driven by the fundamental absence of legal personhood for AI under current global frameworks. Criminal liability requires mens rea—intentional wrongdoing—which AI lacks as non-sentient software, with responsibility instead falling on developers, deployers, or users, as affirmed in recent regulatory discussions like the EU AI Act and U.S. executive orders on AI safety. No precedents exist, and the past month's developments, including high-profile AI misuse cases like deepfakes, have led to human prosecutions rather than machine charges. While paradigm-shifting legislation granting AI agency remains theoretically possible, realistic hurdles include entrenched legal traditions and focus on corporate accountability; key watchpoints include 2025 AI summits and court rulings on algorithmic liability.