¿Un aliado de Estados Unidos obtendrá un arma nuclear en 2025?
Sí
$92,718 Vol.
$92,718 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, a claimant government, or a consensus of credible global news sources officially confirm that a US ally which did not possess nuclear weapons as of March 10, 2025, possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If a US ally participates in a nuclear sharing agreement that does not include independent control over nuclear weapons, this will not qualify for "Yes" resolution. Only full control over an operational nuclear weapon will count.
For the purposes of this market, a "US ally" is defined as a country that is a member of NATO or a Major Non-NATO Ally (https://www.state.gov/major-non-nato-ally-status/) as of March 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a US ally participates in a nuclear sharing agreement that does not include independent control over nuclear weapons, this will not qualify for "Yes" resolution. Only full control over an operational nuclear weapon will count.
For the purposes of this market, a "US ally" is defined as a country that is a member of NATO or a Major Non-NATO Ally (https://www.state.gov/major-non-nato-ally-status/) as of March 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Creado en: Mar 10, 2025, 1:46 PM ET
Volumen
$92,718Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Creado en
Mar 10, 2025, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
¿Un aliado de Estados Unidos obtendrá un arma nuclear en 2025?
Sí
$92,718 Vol.
$92,718 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Acerca de
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, a claimant government, or a consensus of credible global news sources officially confirm that a US ally which did not possess nuclear weapons as of March 10, 2025, possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If a US ally participates in a nuclear sharing agreement that does not include independent control over nuclear weapons, this will not qualify for "Yes" resolution. Only full control over an operational nuclear weapon will count.
For the purposes of this market, a "US ally" is defined as a country that is a member of NATO or a Major Non-NATO Ally (https://www.state.gov/major-non-nato-ally-status/) as of March 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a US ally participates in a nuclear sharing agreement that does not include independent control over nuclear weapons, this will not qualify for "Yes" resolution. Only full control over an operational nuclear weapon will count.
For the purposes of this market, a "US ally" is defined as a country that is a member of NATO or a Major Non-NATO Ally (https://www.state.gov/major-non-nato-ally-status/) as of March 10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$92,718Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Creado en
Mar 10, 2025, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.