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Política·Venezuela

¿Quién visitará Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·Venezuela

¿Quién visitará Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?

$62,005 Vol.

Polymarket

$62,005 Vol.

Polymarket

Dinorah Figuera

$0 Vol.

No

Marco Rubio

$8,552 Vol.

No

Pete Hegseth

$1,775 Vol.

No

JD Vance

$1,717 Vol.

No

John Ratcliffe

$3,618 Vol.

Sí

Emmanuel Macron

$3,445 Vol.

No

Keir Starmer

$3,001 Vol.

No

Karoline Leavitt

$0 Vol.

No

Larry Fink

$0 Vol.

No

Edmundo González Urrutia

$0 Vol.

No

María Corina Machado

$18,777 Vol.

No

Charles Myers

$1,329 Vol.

Sí

Richard Grenell

$637 Vol.

No

Dan Caine

$1,170 Vol.

No

Jared Kushner

$1,016 Vol.

No

Donald Trump

$3,189 Vol.

No

Nicolás Maduro

$13,780 Vol.

No

Jamie Dimon

$0 Vol.

No

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US military operation in early 2026 that removed Nicolás Maduro from power, diplomatic ties rapidly thawed, with the US and Venezuela agreeing in March to restore full relations and reopening the embassy in Caracas on March 30—just before the market deadline. US charge d'affaires Laura Dogu arrived in February to spearhead normalization, while business delegations from Wall Street firms scouted energy and infrastructure opportunities in late March, hosted by acting president Delcy Rodríguez. These developments drove trader sentiment toward Trump administration figures like Richard Grenell, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth as likely visitors, reflecting momentum for engagement during the interim government's transition, though no such high-profile trips materialized by March 31.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$62,005
Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US military operation in early 2026 that removed Nicolás Maduro from power, diplomatic ties rapidly thawed, with the US and Venezuela agreeing in March to restore full relations and reopening the embassy in Caracas on March 30—just before the market deadline. US charge d'affaires Laura Dogu arrived in February to spearhead normalization, while business delegations from Wall Street firms scouted energy and infrastructure opportunities in late March, hosted by acting president Delcy Rodríguez. These developments drove trader sentiment toward Trump administration figures like Richard Grenell, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth as likely visitors, reflecting momentum for engagement during the interim government's transition, though no such high-profile trips materialized by March 31.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$62,005
Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién visitará Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Ratcliffe" con 100%, seguido de "Charles Myers" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién visitará Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $62K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién visitará Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién visitará Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?" es "John Ratcliffe" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charles Myers" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién visitará Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.