Trader consensus heavily favors Mohammed bin Salman at near 100% implied probability following credible reports of a late-March phone call between President Trump and the Saudi crown prince discussing Iran ceasefire efforts and the ongoing US-Israeli military actions against Iran. This leader-to-leader verbal communication fits the market's criteria of phone or video interaction confirmed by consensus reporting. Claims of talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, based on his public statements, remain disputed due to insufficient direct verification, holding low odds around 2%, while Xi Jinping sits below 1% after Polymarket overruled UMA voters affirming no qualifying conversation. With March concluded, the multi-outcome market awaits final resolution review amid geopolitical tensions driving diplomatic outreach.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$5,264,301 Vol.

Mohammed bin Salman
100%

Mark Rutte
2%

Xi Jinping
<1%
$5,264,301 Vol.

Mohammed bin Salman
100%

Mark Rutte
2%

Xi Jinping
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus heavily favors Mohammed bin Salman at near 100% implied probability following credible reports of a late-March phone call between President Trump and the Saudi crown prince discussing Iran ceasefire efforts and the ongoing US-Israeli military actions against Iran. This leader-to-leader verbal communication fits the market's criteria of phone or video interaction confirmed by consensus reporting. Claims of talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, based on his public statements, remain disputed due to insufficient direct verification, holding low odds around 2%, while Xi Jinping sits below 1% after Polymarket overruled UMA voters affirming no qualifying conversation. With March concluded, the multi-outcome market awaits final resolution review amid geopolitical tensions driving diplomatic outreach.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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