United States and Israeli forces maintain an ongoing air campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, with strikes as recent as March 30 targeting defense industrial sites, missile production facilities like Khojir and Parchin, air defenses, and IRGC bases in Tehran, Esfahan, and other provinces, significantly degrading Tehran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, US regional bases, and Gulf aluminum plants in UAE and Bahrain. No other nations, including Saudi Arabia, UAE, or UK, have conducted offensive military actions against Iran, prioritizing defensive intercepts amid escalation risks. Traders eye potential diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified operations before the April 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWhich countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$602,089 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Saudi Arabia
14%
UAE
14%
Bahrain
5%
Jordan
5%
Turkey
4%
Kuwait
4%
Qatar
4%
Any E.U. Country
4%
Oman
4%
UK
3%
France
2%
Germany
1%
Canada
1%
$602,089 Vol.
Saudi Arabia
$106,076 Vol.
14%
UAE
$117,702 Vol.
14%
Bahrain
$2,682 Vol.
5%
Jordan
$1,226 Vol.
5%
Turkey
$17,402 Vol.
4%
Kuwait
$2,158 Vol.
4%
Qatar
$889 Vol.
4%
Any E.U. Country
$8,869 Vol.
4%
Oman
$412 Vol.
4%
UK
$110,054 Vol.
3%
France
$150,653 Vol.
2%
Germany
$81,695 Vol.
1%
Canada
$2,271 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.United States and Israeli forces maintain an ongoing air campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, with strikes as recent as March 30 targeting defense industrial sites, missile production facilities like Khojir and Parchin, air defenses, and IRGC bases in Tehran, Esfahan, and other provinces, significantly degrading Tehran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, US regional bases, and Gulf aluminum plants in UAE and Bahrain. No other nations, including Saudi Arabia, UAE, or UK, have conducted offensive military actions against Iran, prioritizing defensive intercepts amid escalation risks. Traders eye potential diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified operations before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volumen
$602,089Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.United States and Israeli forces maintain an ongoing air campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, with strikes as recent as March 30 targeting defense industrial sites, missile production facilities like Khojir and Parchin, air defenses, and IRGC bases in Tehran, Esfahan, and other provinces, significantly degrading Tehran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, US regional bases, and Gulf aluminum plants in UAE and Bahrain. No other nations, including Saudi Arabia, UAE, or UK, have conducted offensive military actions against Iran, prioritizing defensive intercepts amid escalation risks. Traders eye potential diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified operations before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$602,089Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United States and Israeli forces maintain an ongoing air campaign against Iran since February 28, 2026, with strikes as recent as March 30 targeting defense industrial sites, missile production facilities like Khojir and Parchin, air defenses, and IRGC bases in Tehran, Esfahan, and other provinces, significantly degrading Tehran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, US regional bases, and Gulf aluminum plants in UAE and Bahrain. No other nations, including Saudi Arabia, UAE, or UK, have conducted offensive military actions against Iran, prioritizing defensive intercepts amid escalation risks. Traders eye potential diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified operations before the April 30 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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