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Economía·Big Tech

¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?
Economía·Big Tech

¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?

$683,573 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$683,573 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$79,219 Vol.

30%

icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$36,059 Vol.

14%

icon for Andy Jassy - Amazon

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$27,480 Vol.

13%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$81,904 Vol.

11%

icon for Dan Clancy - Twitch

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$41,924 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Apple's April 20 announcement that CEO Tim Cook will step down on September 1, 2026, transitioning to executive chairman with hardware engineering SVP John Ternus as successor, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus on Polymarket for his exit before year-end, reflecting long-rumored succession planning amid intensifying AI competition from OpenAI and Google. This planned handover underscores Apple's focus on engineering leadership for future hardware-software integration, boosting market-implied odds to over 75% pre-announcement and nearing certainty post-news. Lower probabilities for others like Sam Altman (around 30%) stem from OpenAI's stabilized board post-2023 drama and strong GPT model momentum, while Sundar Pichai (14%) and Andy Jassy (13%) face scrutiny over Alphabet's AI pivot delays and Amazon's restructuring, with upcoming Q2 earnings calls as key catalysts for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volumen
$683,573
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Apple's April 20 announcement that CEO Tim Cook will step down on September 1, 2026, transitioning to executive chairman with hardware engineering SVP John Ternus as successor, has driven near-unanimous trader consensus on Polymarket for his exit before year-end, reflecting long-rumored succession planning amid intensifying AI competition from OpenAI and Google. This planned handover underscores Apple's focus on engineering leadership for future hardware-software integration, boosting market-implied odds to over 75% pre-announcement and nearing certainty post-news. Lower probabilities for others like Sam Altman (around 30%) stem from OpenAI's stabilized board post-2023 drama and strong GPT model momentum, while Sundar Pichai (14%) and Andy Jassy (13%) face scrutiny over Alphabet's AI pivot delays and Amazon's restructuring, with upcoming Q2 earnings calls as key catalysts for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volumen
$683,573
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tim Cook - Apple" con 100%, seguido de "Sam Altman - OpenAI" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" ha generado $683.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" es "Tim Cook - Apple" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sam Altman - OpenAI" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.