Name: What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
Start: 2024-09-24T23:46:45.504806Z
End: 2024-10-01T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the statements made by Tim Walz during the upcoming debate.

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Obamacare", "ACA" or "Affordable Care Act" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Obamacare" or "ACA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Affordable Care Act.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Obamacare/Affordable Care Act

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "concept" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "concept" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to an abstract idea or general notion.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Concept

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "gun" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "gun" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a weapon designed to discharge bullets.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "abortion" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Abortion

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Tampon" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Tampon

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Trump" 20 or more times at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Trump 20+ times

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Kamala", "Harris", or "Kamala Harris" 15 or more times at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Usage of the full name "Kamala Harris" will only count as a single mention.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" or "Harris" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Kamala Harris 15+ times

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "abortion" 5 or more times at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the deliberate termination of a human pregnancy.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Abortion 5+ times

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "couch" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "couch" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a piece of furniture primarily used for sitting on.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Couch

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "coach" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "coach" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a leader who trains and guides a team/individuals toward success.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Coach

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "teacher" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "teacher" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to an educator who imparts knowledge and skills to students.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Teacher

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "weird "or "weirdo" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "weird "or "weirdo" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who behaves unusually or oddly.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Weird

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Trump" 30 or more times at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Trump 30+ times

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "football" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "football" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the a high-impact American sport with a pointed ball. 

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Football

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Kamala", "Harris", or "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Usage of the full name "Kamala Harris" will only count as a single mention.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" or "Harris" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Kamala Harris 30+ times

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "VC" or "venture capitalist" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "VC" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who funds startups with high-growth potential in exchange for equity.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Venture Capitalist

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "racist" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "racist" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who discriminates or holds prejudice based on race.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Racist

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Yale" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Yale" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the university in New Haven.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Yale

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Helene" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Helene" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the recent NOAA-named hurricane.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Helene

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Haitian" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Haitian" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the demonym for people from the country of Haiti.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Haitian

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "dog" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "dog" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a domesticated carnivorous mammal that typically has a long snout, an acute sense of smell, nonretractable claws, and a barking, howling, or whining voice.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Israel" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Israel" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the country in the Middle East.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Israel

Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Walz says "Iran" at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Iran" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the country in the Middle East.

If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the debate.

Iran

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Renunciará Tim Walz antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Tim Walz en la cárcel para el 31 de diciembre?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Governor Tim Walz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Se presentarán cargos contra Tim Walz antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los demócratas la carrera por la gobernación de Minnesota en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los demócratas la contienda por el Senado de Minnesota en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

¿Ganará Amy Klobuchar las primarias demócratas para la gobernación de Minnesota en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

¿Será Peggy Flanagan la candidata demócrata al Senado en Minnesota?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

¿Trump respaldará a Steve Hilton en CA-Gov para el 2 de noviembre de 2026, hora del Este?

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks in Iowa on on January 27, 2026 (see: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the speech in Iowa (https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

¿Será Royce White el candidato republicano al Senado en Minnesota?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

¿Respaldará Bernie a Dan Osborn para NE-Sen antes del 2 de noviembre de 2026 ET?

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los republicanos la carrera por la gobernación de Vermont en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

¿Será Ilhan Omar la candidata demócrata para MN-05?

Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

¿Ganará Lisa Demuth las elecciones primarias republicanas para gobernador de Minnesota en 2026?

On January 18, the Pentagon ordered the preparation of 1,500 Army soldiers for a possible deployment to Minnesota in response to ongoing unrest over ICE actions in the state (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/pentagon-readies-1500-soldiers-possibly-deploy-minnesota-washington-post-reports-2026-01-18/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any active-duty U.S. military troops are deployed to Minnesota for any domestic mission by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Active-duty U.S. military troops refers to any active-component U.S. military personnel and reserve-component personnel when ordered to active duty, excluding all National Guard personnel. National Guard personnel will not qualify, even if federalized under Title 10. Military police serving on active duty in the U.S. military will qualify.

Deployed to Minnesota refers to the deployment, ordering, or authorization of U.S. troops to operationally execute a domestic mission in Minnesota. Pre-positioning, readying, or otherwise preparing troops for action in Minnesota, without deployment to execute a domestic mission, will not count. 

Any domestic mission refers to a deployment to or in the state of Minnesota to carry out a domestic mission outside of the routine scope of regular military operations, including but not limited to law enforcement, security support, or the protection of federal property. Routine military operations (e.g., training exercises, transit through Minnesota, or regular military staffing in Minnesota) will not qualify. A deployment or mobilization of troops already stationed in Minnesota for a qualifying purpose will qualify.

An official announcement from the US military or the federal government, within this market’s timeframe, of a qualifying deployment will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the deployment is scheduled to take place or any legal challenges it may face. This includes announcements stating that troops are authorized or ordered to execute a mission in Minnesota. 

Announcements that do not indicate granted mission execution authorization (e.g., prepositioning or preparation announcements) will not qualify. Announcements of conditional authorization for the deployment of troops that are contingent on future events, requests, or approvals, and that do not grant immediate authorization to execute a mission in Minnesota, will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Military and the federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?

An interview of Donald Trump by Katie Pavlich on "Katie Pavlich Tonight" is scheduled to air on January 20, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/NewsNation/status/2012890752905363662

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or NewsNation, or otherwise is not released by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

¿Será Matt Klein el candidato demócrata para MN-02?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

¿Respaldará Trump a JD Vance para presidente antes de 2027?

An interview of Donald Trump by Joe Kernen is scheduled to air on January 21, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/CNBC/status/2012167755407999076

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or CNBC, or otherwise is not released by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

¿Ganará Gavin Newsom la nominación presidencial demócrata de 2028?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any state or federally elected Minnesota politician for fraud, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Será acusado algún político de Minnesota de fraude antes del 31 de marzo?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

¿Ganará el Partido Republicano el escaño de la Cámara de MN-02?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los demócratas la carrera para gobernador de Wisconsin en 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

¿Anunciará Donald Trump un nuevo candidato para Presidente de la Reserva Federal antes del 30 de junio de 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

¿Ganará Mike Pieciak las primarias demócratas para gobernador de Vermont en 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

¿Respaldará Trump a algún candidato presidencial antes de 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Anunciará Liz Cheney una candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

¿Será Eric Pratt el nominado republicano para MN-02?

Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los demócratas la carrera para gobernador de Iowa en 2026?

J.D. Vance is set to deliver remarks in Washington on on January 23, 2026 (see: https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during the event on January 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the remarks for March for Life (https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will J.D. Vance say "Trump" during the March for Life?

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. 

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

¿Donald Trump no anunciará un nuevo candidato para Presidente de la Reserva Federal antes de febrero de 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

¿Respaldará Trump a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Tucker Carlson entrevistará a Trump antes del 28 de febrero?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los demócratas la carrera por el Senado de Virginia en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los republicanos la carrera para gobernador de Dakota del Sur en 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Anunciará Gavin Newsom su candidatura presidencial antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los republicanos la carrera por el Senado en Dakota del Sur en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

¿Ganará el Partido Demócrata el escaño de la Cámara por el distrito NV-03?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los republicanos la carrera para gobernador de Texas en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

¿Ganarán los republicanos la contienda por el Senado de Iowa en 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Abortion
$53,799 Vol.
Yes

Tampon
$37,231 Vol.
No

Trump 20+ times
$82,827 Vol.
Yes

Trump 30+ times
$63,763 Vol.
Yes

Kamala Harris 15+ times
$99,237 Vol.
Yes

Kamala Harris 30+ times
$66,290 Vol.
No

Abortion 5+ times
$97,801 Vol.
No

Couch
$63,216 Vol.
No

Coach
$46,989 Vol.
Yes

Teacher
$48,135 Vol.
Yes

Weird
$60,552 Vol.
No

Football
$60,432 Vol.
Yes

Venture Capitalist
$179,458 Vol.
No

Racist
$70,726 Vol.
No

Yale
$34,848 Vol.
No

Haitian
$65,407 Vol.
No

Dog
$60,736 Vol.
Yes

Obamacare/Affordable Care Act
$17,435 Vol.
Yes

Concept
$47,951 Vol.
Yes

Gun
$63,071 Vol.
Yes

Israel
$17,795 Vol.
Yes

Helene
$25,211 Vol.
No

Iran
$13,519 Vol.
Yes

Contexto del Mercado

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Reglas

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Contexto del Mercado

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Acerca de

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Abortion$53,799 Vol.Yes

Tampon$37,231 Vol.No

Trump 20+ times$82,827 Vol.Yes

Trump 30+ times$63,763 Vol.Yes

Kamala Harris 15+ times$99,237 Vol.Yes

Kamala Harris 30+ times$66,290 Vol.No

Abortion 5+ times$97,801 Vol.No

Couch$63,216 Vol.No

Coach$46,989 Vol.Yes

Teacher$48,135 Vol.Yes

Weird$60,552 Vol.No

Football$60,432 Vol.Yes

Venture Capitalist$179,458 Vol.No

Racist$70,726 Vol.No

Yale$34,848 Vol.No

Haitian$65,407 Vol.No

Dog$60,736 Vol.Yes

Obamacare/Affordable Care Act$17,435 Vol.Yes

Concept$47,951 Vol.Yes

Gun$63,071 Vol.Yes

Israel$17,795 Vol.Yes

Helene$25,211 Vol.No

Iran$13,519 Vol.Yes

Contexto del Mercado

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Reglas

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Contexto del Mercado

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Acerca de

Abortion
$53,799 Vol.
Yes

Tampon
$37,231 Vol.
No

Trump 20+ times
$82,827 Vol.
Yes

Trump 30+ times
$63,763 Vol.
Yes

Kamala Harris 15+ times
$99,237 Vol.
Yes

Kamala Harris 30+ times
$66,290 Vol.
No

Abortion 5+ times
$97,801 Vol.
No

Couch
$63,216 Vol.
No

Coach
$46,989 Vol.
Yes

Teacher
$48,135 Vol.
Yes

Weird
$60,552 Vol.
No

Football
$60,432 Vol.
Yes

Venture Capitalist
$179,458 Vol.
No

Racist
$70,726 Vol.
No

Yale
$34,848 Vol.
No

Haitian
$65,407 Vol.
No

Dog
$60,736 Vol.
Yes

Obamacare/Affordable Care Act
$17,435 Vol.
Yes

Concept
$47,951 Vol.
Yes

Gun
$63,071 Vol.
Yes

Israel
$17,795 Vol.
Yes

Helene
$25,211 Vol.
No

Iran
$13,519 Vol.
Yes