Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 63.7% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas's April 7 report that Elon Musk acquired the $SPCX symbol from ETF manager Matt Tuttle after a ticker change, positioning it as the frontrunner ahead of the anticipated 2026 IPO targeting $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation and $30–75 billion raise. $X holds 28.5% on Musk's affinity for the branding seen in X (formerly Twitter), though odds have fallen from 60% in late March amid $SPCX momentum; lower-probability options like $SPAX and $SPACE reflect playful speculation. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing signals a potential July listing, with investor briefings underway, but no official ticker confirmation yet—watch for S-1 details or Musk announcements to shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOtro (incluye $SPCX) 63.7%
$X 29%
$SPAX 3.3%
$SPACE 2.2%
$5,175,929 Vol.
$5,175,929 Vol.
Otro (incluye $SPCX)
64%
$X
29%
$SPAX
3%
$SPACE
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: $SEX
2%
$SX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$MARS
<1%
Título del grupo: $SPC
<1%
Otro (incluye $SPCX) 63.7%
$X 29%
$SPAX 3.3%
$SPACE 2.2%
$5,175,929 Vol.
$5,175,929 Vol.
Otro (incluye $SPCX)
64%
$X
29%
$SPAX
3%
$SPACE
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: $SEX
2%
$SX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$MARS
<1%
Título del grupo: $SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 63.7% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas's April 7 report that Elon Musk acquired the $SPCX symbol from ETF manager Matt Tuttle after a ticker change, positioning it as the frontrunner ahead of the anticipated 2026 IPO targeting $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation and $30–75 billion raise. $X holds 28.5% on Musk's affinity for the branding seen in X (formerly Twitter), though odds have fallen from 60% in late March amid $SPCX momentum; lower-probability options like $SPAX and $SPACE reflect playful speculation. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing signals a potential July listing, with investor briefings underway, but no official ticker confirmation yet—watch for S-1 details or Musk announcements to shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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