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¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?

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¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?

10% chance
Polymarket
NEW

10% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning or being forced out over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of direct, actionable evidence implicating sitting House or Senate members despite recent DOJ releases of millions of documents in February 2026. Congressional scrutiny intensified with House Oversight Committee briefings, including Democrats walking out of AG Pam Bondi's March 18 session demanding under-oath testimony and subpoena compliance for an April 14 deposition. While lists of prominent "politically exposed persons" were sent to Judiciary leaders and figures like former President Clinton testified, no verified links have triggered resignations among current lawmakers, amid partisan pushes for transparency under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Late-breaking revelations or victim testimonies could still shift dynamics before the deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. fuera por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 20, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?" es "¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. fuera por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Miembro del Congreso de EE. UU. por los archivos de Epstein antes del 30 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.