A powerful nor'easter storm slammed the US Northeast on March 25, triggering over 1,700 flight cancellations nationwide according to FlightAware data—more than triple the 600 threshold for a "Yes" resolution. Major hubs like Boston Logan (over 400 cancels), Newark, and Philadelphia saw mass groundings amid blizzard warnings, heavy snow, and winds gusting over 50 mph, with airlines issuing widespread waivers. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects this locked-in outcome from real-time tracking, as cancellations peaked early and no reversals are expected. Realistic upsets are negligible barring an unprecedented data recount, though markets acknowledge minor historical variances in final tallies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoOver 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?
Over 600 US flights cancelled on March 25?
$5,734 Vol.
$5,734 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
$5,734 Vol.
$5,734 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$5,734Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than the specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$5,734Fecha de finalización
Mar 26, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
A powerful nor'easter storm slammed the US Northeast on March 25, triggering over 1,700 flight cancellations nationwide according to FlightAware data—more than triple the 600 threshold for a "Yes" resolution. Major hubs like Boston Logan (over 400 cancels), Newark, and Philadelphia saw mass groundings amid blizzard warnings, heavy snow, and winds gusting over 50 mph, with airlines issuing widespread waivers. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects this locked-in outcome from real-time tracking, as cancellations peaked early and no reversals are expected. Realistic upsets are negligible barring an unprecedented data recount, though markets acknowledge minor historical variances in final tallies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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