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Política·Derivados

¿Cuotas de cierre del gobierno >90% el viernes por la noche (12-1 a. m.)?

Market icon
Política·Derivados

¿Cuotas de cierre del gobierno >90% el viernes por la noche (12-1 a. m.)?

Ended: Jan 31

Ended: Jan 31

Sí

>99% chance
Polymarket

$346,734 Vol.

Sí

>99% chance
Polymarket

$346,734 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volumen
$346,734
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volumen
$346,734
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuotas de cierre del gobierno >90% el viernes por la noche (12-1 a. m.)?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Probabilidades de cierre del gobierno >90% la noche del viernes (12-1 AM)?" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuotas de cierre del gobierno >90% el viernes por la noche (12-1 a. m.)?" ha generado $346.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuotas de cierre del gobierno >90% el viernes por la noche (12-1 a. m.)?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuotas de cierre del gobierno >90% el viernes por la noche (12-1 a. m.)?" es "¿Probabilidades de cierre del gobierno >90% la noche del viernes (12-1 AM)?" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuotas de cierre del gobierno >90% el viernes por la noche (12-1 a. m.)?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.