Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Starmer - UK PM 38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 20%
Orbán - Hungary PM 9%
Trump - USA President 4.3%
$41,077 Vol.
$41,077 Vol.
Starmer - UK PM
38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
20%
Orbán - Hungary PM
18%
Trump - USA President
4%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
3%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Newsom - California Governor
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
7%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
Starmer - UK PM 38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 20%
Orbán - Hungary PM 9%
Trump - USA President 4.3%
$41,077 Vol.
$41,077 Vol.
Starmer - UK PM
38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
20%
Orbán - Hungary PM
18%
Trump - USA President
4%
Abbas - President of Palestine
3%
None before 2027
3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
3%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
3%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Newsom - California Governor
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
7%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions