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¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027?

Market icon

¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027?

Schoof - Primer Ministro de Países Bajos 100.0%

Xi - Secretario General del PCCh <1%

Albanese - Primer Ministro de Australia <1%

Starmer - Primer Ministro del Reino Unido <1%

Polymarket

$11,059,224 Vol.

Schoof - Primer Ministro de Países Bajos 100.0%

Xi - Secretario General del PCCh <1%

Albanese - Primer Ministro de Australia <1%

Starmer - Primer Ministro del Reino Unido <1%

Polymarket

$11,059,224 Vol.

Xi - Secretario General del PCCh

$497,606 Vol.

No

Albanese - Primer Ministro de Australia

$344,358 Vol.

No

Starmer - Primer Ministro del Reino Unido

$592,504 Vol.

No

Lecornu - Primer Ministro de Francia

$455,733 Vol.

No

Abbas - Presidente de Palestina

$321,890 Vol.

No

Sheinbaum - Presidenta de México

$343,942 Vol.

No

Rodríguez - Presidenta interina de Venezuela

$366,538 Vol.

No

al-Sharaa - Presidente de Siria

$304,285 Vol.

No

Erdoğan - Presidente de Turquía

$339,376 Vol.

No

Netanyahu - Primer Ministro de Israel

$414,018 Vol.

No

Trump - Presidente de EE. UU.

$488,512 Vol.

No

Sánchez - Primer Ministro español

$394,413 Vol.

No

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba

$512,977 Vol.

No

Orbán - Primer Ministro de Hungría

$474,697 Vol.

No

Macron - Presidente de Francia

$307,992 Vol.

No

Kim - Líder Supremo de Corea del Norte

$280,352 Vol.

No

Putin - Presidente de Rusia

$358,209 Vol.

No

Lula da Silva - Presidente de Brasil

$358,256 Vol.

No

Petro - Presidente de Colombia

$357,077 Vol.

No

Ninguno antes de 2027

$357,611 Vol.

No

Khamenei - Líder Supremo de Irán

$654,446 Vol.

No

Newsom - Gobernador de California

$377,923 Vol.

No

Milei - Presidente de Argentina

$289,683 Vol.

No

Zelenskyy - Presidente de Ucrania

$472,796 Vol.

No

Takaichi - Primera Ministra de Japón

$425,632 Vol.

No

Schoof - Primer Ministro de Países Bajos

$631,090 Vol.

Merz - Canciller alemán

$337,307 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$11,059,224
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Schoof - Primer Ministro de Países Bajos" at 100%, followed by "Xi - Secretario General del PCCh" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027?" has generated $11.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027?" is "Schoof - Primer Ministro de Países Bajos" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Xi - Secretario General del PCCh" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿El próximo líder fuera del poder antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.