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¿Maduro deja Venezuela para el 31 de marzo?

Market icon

¿Maduro deja Venezuela para el 31 de marzo?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$240,621 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$240,621 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$240,621
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$240,621
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Maduro deja Venezuela para el 31 de marzo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "¿Maduro deja Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Maduro deja Venezuela para el 31 de marzo?" has generated $240.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Maduro deja Venezuela para el 31 de marzo?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Maduro deja Venezuela para el 31 de marzo?" is "¿Maduro deja Venezuela antes del 31 de marzo?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Maduro deja Venezuela para el 31 de marzo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.