Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a D+5 partisan voter index. Her consistent overperformance in prior cycles, including a double-digit victory in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising leads and the structural advantages of incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for a November resolution, with limited scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent a major national political realignment or unforeseen development affecting either candidate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-13 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
8%
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, reflecting a D+5 partisan voter index. Her consistent overperformance in prior cycles, including a double-digit victory in 2024, combined with substantial fundraising leads and the structural advantages of incumbency, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for a November resolution, with limited scheduled events capable of shifting the balance absent a major national political realignment or unforeseen development affecting either candidate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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