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Política·Primarias

IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Market icon
Política·Primarias

IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Joe Mitchell 94.4%

Charlie McClintock 3.3%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Joe Mitchell 94.4%

Charlie McClintock 3.3%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Joe Mitchell

$4,795 Vol.

94%

Charlie McClintock

$1,817 Vol.

3%

Shannon Lundgren

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Rep. Joe Mitchell commands 94.4% trader consensus in the IA-02 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate run, bolstered by President Trump's February endorsement, Speaker Mike Johnson's support, and NRCC's March 17 addition to its MAGA Majority program signaling party infrastructure backing. His campaign's April 1 announcement of a record $600,000 Q1 fundraising total for a non-incumbent GOP contender further solidifies financial dominance. State Sen. Charlie McClintock lags at 3.4% despite remaining in the field post-Shannon Lundgren's January suspension, with the June 2 primary looming. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting Mitchell, strong McClintock debate showings, or unexpected turnout shifts among conservative primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$6,613
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Rep. Joe Mitchell commands 94.4% trader consensus in the IA-02 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's U.S. Senate run, bolstered by President Trump's February endorsement, Speaker Mike Johnson's support, and NRCC's March 17 addition to its MAGA Majority program signaling party infrastructure backing. His campaign's April 1 announcement of a record $600,000 Q1 fundraising total for a non-incumbent GOP contender further solidifies financial dominance. State Sen. Charlie McClintock lags at 3.4% despite remaining in the field post-Shannon Lundgren's January suspension, with the June 2 primary looming. Realistic challenges include a late scandal hitting Mitchell, strong McClintock debate showings, or unexpected turnout shifts among conservative primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$6,613
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Joe Mitchell" con 94%, seguido de "Charlie McClintock" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 18, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Joe Mitchell" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charlie McClintock" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IA-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.