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¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?

Market icon

¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?

7 4.7%

6 4.2%

8+ 4.0%

1 <1%

Polymarket

$20,204 Vol.

7 4.7%

6 4.2%

8+ 4.0%

1 <1%

Polymarket

$20,204 Vol.

0

$3,824 Vol.

<1%

1

$1,243 Vol.

1%

2

$6,126 Vol.

<1%

3

$1,557 Vol.

<1%

4

$1,658 Vol.

38%

5

$3,151 Vol.

36%

6

$2,044 Vol.

4%

7

$445 Vol.

5%

8+

$153 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has signed exactly four bills into law in March 2026 to date—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a posthumous promotion notice requirement, followed by three Medal of Honor authorizations (H.R. 3377, 7194, 7211) on March 26—reflecting trader consensus clustered at four (38%) and five (36%), as these unanimous consent measures advanced despite his early-month threat to block signings absent SAVE America Act passage on voter eligibility proof. The tight race persists amid DHS appropriations gridlock, with mismatched House and Senate continuing resolutions stalling amid shutdown risks; Trump issued an executive order March 27 to fund TSA pay, bypassing legislation. With three days remaining, a minor bill or surprise funding deal could tip toward five, while entrenched partisan divides favor no further action.

President Trump has signed exactly four bills into law in March 2026 to date—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a posthumous promotion notice requirement, followed by three Medal of Honor authorizations (H.R. 3377, 7194, 7211) on March 26—reflecting trader consensus clustered at four (38%) and five (36%), as these unanimous consent measures advanced despite his early-month threat to block signings absent SAVE America Act passage on voter eligibility proof. The tight race persists amid DHS appropriations gridlock, with mismatched House and Senate continuing resolutions stalling amid shutdown risks; Trump issued an executive order March 27 to fund TSA pay, bypassing legislation. With three days remaining, a minor bill or surprise funding deal could tip toward five, while entrenched partisan divides favor no further action.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has signed exactly four bills into law in March 2026 to date—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a posthumous promotion notice requirement, followed by three Medal of Honor authorizations (H.R. 3377, 7194, 7211) on March 26—reflecting trader consensus clustered at four (38%) and five (36%), as these unanimous consent measures advanced despite his early-month threat to block signings absent SAVE America Act passage on voter eligibility proof. The tight race persists amid DHS appropriations gridlock, with mismatched House and Senate continuing resolutions stalling amid shutdown risks; Trump issued an executive order March 27 to fund TSA pay, bypassing legislation. With three days remaining, a minor bill or surprise funding deal could tip toward five, while entrenched partisan divides favor no further action.

President Trump has signed exactly four bills into law in March 2026 to date—S. 4138 on March 20 waiving a posthumous promotion notice requirement, followed by three Medal of Honor authorizations (H.R. 3377, 7194, 7211) on March 26—reflecting trader consensus clustered at four (38%) and five (36%), as these unanimous consent measures advanced despite his early-month threat to block signings absent SAVE America Act passage on voter eligibility proof. The tight race persists amid DHS appropriations gridlock, with mismatched House and Senate continuing resolutions stalling amid shutdown risks; Trump issued an executive order March 27 to fund TSA pay, bypassing legislation. With three days remaining, a minor bill or surprise funding deal could tip toward five, while entrenched partisan divides favor no further action.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "4" con 38%, seguido de "5" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" ha generado $20.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" es "4" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántas leyes promulgará Trump en marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.