How many days will the federal government be shut down in 2025?
30+ 100.0%
No shutdown <1%
1–3 <1%
4-9 <1%
$2,280,548 Vol.
$2,280,548 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
No shutdown
$79,886 Vol.
No
No shutdown
$79,886 Vol.
No
1–3
$546,628 Vol.
No
1–3
$546,628 Vol.
No
4-9
$223,725 Vol.
No
4-9
$223,725 Vol.
No
10–29
$433,497 Vol.
No
10–29
$433,497 Vol.
No
30+
$996,813 Vol.
Yes
30+
$996,813 Vol.
Yes
Reglas
This market will resolve according to how many days the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM.
Days are counted based on notices checked at 10:00 AM ET each day. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown, this will count; however, announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
If there are multiple government shutdowns during the relevant period, this market only applies to the first shutdown, as the market will resolve after the end of the first shutdown. Notices of emergency furloughs or impacted government operations count toward the shutdown days.
If no shutdown occurs during the period, this market will resolve to "No shutdown".
The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Days are counted based on notices checked at 10:00 AM ET each day. If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown, this will count; however, announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify.
If there are multiple government shutdowns during the relevant period, this market only applies to the first shutdown, as the market will resolve after the end of the first shutdown. Notices of emergency furloughs or impacted government operations count toward the shutdown days.
If no shutdown occurs during the period, this market will resolve to "No shutdown".
The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Creado en: Sep 16, 2025, 1:55 PM ET
Volumen
$2,280,548Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Creado en
Sep 16, 2025, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
How many days will the federal government be shut down in 2025?
30+ 100.0%
No shutdown <1%
1–3 <1%
4-9 <1%
$2,280,548 Vol.
$2,280,548 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
No shutdown
$79,886 Vol.
No
1–3
$546,628 Vol.
No
4-9
$223,725 Vol.
No
10–29
$433,497 Vol.
No
30+
$996,813 Vol.
Yes
Acerca de
Volumen
$2,280,548Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Creado en
Sep 16, 2025, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.