Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 19°C (51.5% implied probability) and 20°C (30.5%), driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and The Weather Channel projecting afternoon peaks around 20.6°C under hazy sunshine and partly cloudy skies after morning showers and light rain. Observations from the Xujiahui observatory show early temperatures near 12°C, with slow warming due to lingering moisture, sea breezes from the East China Sea, and moderate cloud cover limiting solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns at 20°C high, while Hong Kong Observatory notes 21°C fine conditions. Model ensembles reflect spring climatology averages of 18-19°C, with resolution hinging on official Xujiahui readings by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
19°C 49%
18°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 4%
$175,923 Vol.
$175,923 Vol.
1 abr 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
22%
19°C
49%
20°C
21%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 49%
18°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 4%
$175,923 Vol.
$175,923 Vol.
1 abr 2026
14°C or below
$7,585 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12,472 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$14,306 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35,990 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$21,264 Vol.
22%
19°C
$9,925 Vol.
49%
20°C
$10,725 Vol.
21%
21°C
$13,782 Vol.
4%
22°C
$22,660 Vol.
1%
23°C
$14,109 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$15,997 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 19°C (51.5% implied probability) and 20°C (30.5%), driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and The Weather Channel projecting afternoon peaks around 20.6°C under hazy sunshine and partly cloudy skies after morning showers and light rain. Observations from the Xujiahui observatory show early temperatures near 12°C, with slow warming due to lingering moisture, sea breezes from the East China Sea, and moderate cloud cover limiting solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns at 20°C high, while Hong Kong Observatory notes 21°C fine conditions. Model ensembles reflect spring climatology averages of 18-19°C, with resolution hinging on official Xujiahui readings by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Volumen
$175,923Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 19°C (51.5% implied probability) and 20°C (30.5%), driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and The Weather Channel projecting afternoon peaks around 20.6°C under hazy sunshine and partly cloudy skies after morning showers and light rain. Observations from the Xujiahui observatory show early temperatures near 12°C, with slow warming due to lingering moisture, sea breezes from the East China Sea, and moderate cloud cover limiting solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns at 20°C high, while Hong Kong Observatory notes 21°C fine conditions. Model ensembles reflect spring climatology averages of 18-19°C, with resolution hinging on official Xujiahui readings by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$175,923Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shanghai high of 19°C (51.5% implied probability) and 20°C (30.5%), driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and The Weather Channel projecting afternoon peaks around 20.6°C under hazy sunshine and partly cloudy skies after morning showers and light rain. Observations from the Xujiahui observatory show early temperatures near 12°C, with slow warming due to lingering moisture, sea breezes from the East China Sea, and moderate cloud cover limiting solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance aligns at 20°C high, while Hong Kong Observatory notes 21°C fine conditions. Model ensembles reflect spring climatology averages of 18-19°C, with resolution hinging on official Xujiahui readings by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes