Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 28°C (32.5%) and 29°C (31.0%) nearly equally atop the market for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest INMET and Climatempo forecasts projecting peaks of 28-29°C amid morning sun giving way to many clouds and afternoon showers (74% rain chance, ~5 mm). Differentiating factors include model spread in convective timing—earlier showers from sea breeze convergence could limit insolation and cap at 28°C, while delayed activity allows greater urban heat island buildup for 29°C. This aligns with warmer-than-average autumn conditions (historical April highs ~26°C), but increasing atmospheric instability prevents hotter outcomes. Watch overnight INMET updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of official airport station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 6 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 6 de abril?
28°C 34%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
19%
28°C
34%
29°C
31%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C o más
1%
28°C 34%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
23°C o menos
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$730 Vol.
2%
25°C
$392 Vol.
3%
26°C
$752 Vol.
12%
27°C
$773 Vol.
19%
28°C
$1,224 Vol.
34%
29°C
$647 Vol.
31%
30°C
$402 Vol.
7%
31°C
$713 Vol.
2%
32°C
$753 Vol.
1%
33°C o más
$819 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 28°C (32.5%) and 29°C (31.0%) nearly equally atop the market for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest INMET and Climatempo forecasts projecting peaks of 28-29°C amid morning sun giving way to many clouds and afternoon showers (74% rain chance, ~5 mm). Differentiating factors include model spread in convective timing—earlier showers from sea breeze convergence could limit insolation and cap at 28°C, while delayed activity allows greater urban heat island buildup for 29°C. This aligns with warmer-than-average autumn conditions (historical April highs ~26°C), but increasing atmospheric instability prevents hotter outcomes. Watch overnight INMET updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of official airport station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$8,256Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 28°C (32.5%) and 29°C (31.0%) nearly equally atop the market for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest INMET and Climatempo forecasts projecting peaks of 28-29°C amid morning sun giving way to many clouds and afternoon showers (74% rain chance, ~5 mm). Differentiating factors include model spread in convective timing—earlier showers from sea breeze convergence could limit insolation and cap at 28°C, while delayed activity allows greater urban heat island buildup for 29°C. This aligns with warmer-than-average autumn conditions (historical April highs ~26°C), but increasing atmospheric instability prevents hotter outcomes. Watch overnight INMET updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of official airport station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,256Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 28°C (32.5%) and 29°C (31.0%) nearly equally atop the market for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest INMET and Climatempo forecasts projecting peaks of 28-29°C amid morning sun giving way to many clouds and afternoon showers (74% rain chance, ~5 mm). Differentiating factors include model spread in convective timing—earlier showers from sea breeze convergence could limit insolation and cap at 28°C, while delayed activity allows greater urban heat island buildup for 29°C. This aligns with warmer-than-average autumn conditions (historical April highs ~26°C), but increasing atmospheric instability prevents hotter outcomes. Watch overnight INMET updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of official airport station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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