Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a sharp cool-down. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and sites like Meteored project a maximum near 19°C with light rain, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds following intense thunderstorms earlier this week that dropped highs from 27°C on April 2. Differentiating factors include diurnal heating potential under 70% cloudiness, precipitation timing (70% chance of 1 mm), and frontal boundary position—ECMWF and GFS ensembles show 1–2°C spreads based on clearing speeds. New model runs expected by April 4 could sharpen odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 5 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 5 de abril?
21°C 30%
19°C 25%
20°C 20%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
20%
21°C
30%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C o más
2%
21°C 30%
19°C 25%
20°C 20%
22°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
14°C o menos
$640 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$683 Vol.
1%
17°C
$787 Vol.
2%
18°C
$532 Vol.
12%
19°C
$723 Vol.
25%
20°C
$532 Vol.
20%
21°C
$600 Vol.
30%
22°C
$515 Vol.
13%
23°C
$401 Vol.
7%
24°C o más
$586 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a sharp cool-down. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and sites like Meteored project a maximum near 19°C with light rain, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds following intense thunderstorms earlier this week that dropped highs from 27°C on April 2. Differentiating factors include diurnal heating potential under 70% cloudiness, precipitation timing (70% chance of 1 mm), and frontal boundary position—ECMWF and GFS ensembles show 1–2°C spreads based on clearing speeds. New model runs expected by April 4 could sharpen odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$7,301Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a sharp cool-down. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and sites like Meteored project a maximum near 19°C with light rain, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds following intense thunderstorms earlier this week that dropped highs from 27°C on April 2. Differentiating factors include diurnal heating potential under 70% cloudiness, precipitation timing (70% chance of 1 mm), and frontal boundary position—ECMWF and GFS ensembles show 1–2°C spreads based on clearing speeds. New model runs expected by April 4 could sharpen odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,301Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, reflecting forecast model uncertainty amid a sharp cool-down. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and sites like Meteored project a maximum near 19°C with light rain, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds following intense thunderstorms earlier this week that dropped highs from 27°C on April 2. Differentiating factors include diurnal heating potential under 70% cloudiness, precipitation timing (70% chance of 1 mm), and frontal boundary position—ECMWF and GFS ensembles show 1–2°C spreads based on clearing speeds. New model runs expected by April 4 could sharpen odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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