Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 3, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, as aggregated on platforms like meteoblue and Weather Underground. This warmer-than-average outlook—April climatological highs typically hover around 22°C—stems from a persistent warm air mass advancing from northern Argentina, noted in the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) March 27 special bulletin on regional heat extending through early April, though CABA sits peripheral to peak 38–40°C zones. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread on cloud cover and steering patterns; watch SMN's daily updates and 15-day outlook for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 3 de abril?
¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 3 de abril?
29°C o más 42%
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
26°C 20%
19°C o menos
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
25%
28°C
28%
29°C o más
42%
29°C o más 42%
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
26°C 20%
19°C o menos
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
25%
28°C
28%
29°C o más
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on April 3, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, as aggregated on platforms like meteoblue and Weather Underground. This warmer-than-average outlook—April climatological highs typically hover around 22°C—stems from a persistent warm air mass advancing from northern Argentina, noted in the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) March 27 special bulletin on regional heat extending through early April, though CABA sits peripheral to peak 38–40°C zones. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread on cloud cover and steering patterns; watch SMN's daily updates and 15-day outlook for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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