Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 2 de abril?
¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 2 de abril?
28°C 100.0%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$156,000 Vol.
$156,000 Vol.
2 abr 2026
23°C o menos
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sí
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o más
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$156,000 Vol.
$156,000 Vol.
2 abr 2026
23°C o menos
$13,794 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,763 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,637 Vol.
No
26°C
$16,933 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,314 Vol.
No
28°C
$34,880 Vol.
Sí
29°C
$12,289 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,695 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,923 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,382 Vol.
No
33°C o más
$7,390 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$156,000Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$156,000Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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