Spider-Man: Brand New Day commands trader consensus at 41% implied probability, propelled by its trailer shattering records with over 1 billion views—the first ever—igniting massive pre-release buzz for the July 31 Sony/Marvel blockbuster starring Tom Holland. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails at 29.5%, fueled by scorching tracking forecasts of a $150M+ domestic opening over its April 3 five-day debut, leveraging Illumination's family animation pedigree after the original's billion-dollar haul. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 14.5% on MCU draw and prime December 18 holiday positioning, though recent superhero fatigue tempers enthusiasm. With no film yet dominating 2026's modest early box office, Mario's imminent launch and summer tracking updates will dictate momentum shifts among these IP heavyweights.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La película más taquillera de 2026?
¿La película más taquillera de 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 41%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy 30%
Avengers: Doomsday 15%
La Odisea 4.8%
$2,523,215 Vol.
$2,523,215 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
41%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
30%
Avengers: Doomsday
15%
La Odisea
5%
Toy Story 5
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
2%
Michael
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha
1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
<1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 41%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy 30%
Avengers: Doomsday 15%
La Odisea 4.8%
$2,523,215 Vol.
$2,523,215 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
41%
La película de Super Mario Galaxy
30%
Avengers: Doomsday
15%
La Odisea
5%
Toy Story 5
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
2%
Michael
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha
1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
<1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
<1%
Jumanji 3
<1%
Wicked: For Good
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day commands trader consensus at 41% implied probability, propelled by its trailer shattering records with over 1 billion views—the first ever—igniting massive pre-release buzz for the July 31 Sony/Marvel blockbuster starring Tom Holland. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails at 29.5%, fueled by scorching tracking forecasts of a $150M+ domestic opening over its April 3 five-day debut, leveraging Illumination's family animation pedigree after the original's billion-dollar haul. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 14.5% on MCU draw and prime December 18 holiday positioning, though recent superhero fatigue tempers enthusiasm. With no film yet dominating 2026's modest early box office, Mario's imminent launch and summer tracking updates will dictate momentum shifts among these IP heavyweights.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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