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Política·Trump

Verificación de hechos: ¿Video de Epstein confirmado como falso?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Verificación de hechos: ¿Video de Epstein confirmado como falso?

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$685,044 Vol.

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$685,044 Vol.

On December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4 This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming that the video is fake by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video has been significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.

On December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming that the video is fake by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video has been significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.
Volumen
$685,044
Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4 This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming that the video is fake by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video has been significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

On December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4 This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming that the video is fake by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video has been significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.

On December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming that the video is fake by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video has been significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.
Volumen
$685,044
Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4 This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming that the video is fake by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video has been significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Verificación de hechos: ¿Video de Epstein confirmado como falso?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Verificación de hechos: ¿Video de Epstein confirmado como falso?" ha generado $685K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 22, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Verificación de hechos: ¿Video de Epstein confirmado como falso?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Verificación de hechos: ¿Video de Epstein confirmado como falso?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Verificación de hechos: ¿Video de Epstein confirmado como falso?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.