Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability on no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential SEC filing in early January amid a tepid IPO window for tech platforms. Secondary market shares trade around $41 on platforms like Hiive, implying a roughly $15-17 billion valuation based on prior funding rounds and $800 million annual recurring revenue with 250 million monthly active users—positioning the <15 billion market cap outcome at 10.4% if a listing materializes. Monetization pressures in the competitive social-communications sector and lack of public S-1 filing signal potential delays, with traders eyeing upcoming regulatory milestones or withdrawal risks before mid-year resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 84%
<15 mil millones 10.4%
15–20 mil millones 1.8%
30.000M+ 1.8%
$815,762 Vol.
$815,762 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
10%
15–20 mil millones
2%
20–25B
1%
25–30B
1%
30.000M+
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
84%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 84%
<15 mil millones 10.4%
15–20 mil millones 1.8%
30.000M+ 1.8%
$815,762 Vol.
$815,762 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
$292,708 Vol.
10%
15–20 mil millones
$103,679 Vol.
2%
20–25B
$68,436 Vol.
1%
25–30B
$82,739 Vol.
1%
30.000M+
$89,162 Vol.
2%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$179,039 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability on no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential SEC filing in early January amid a tepid IPO window for tech platforms. Secondary market shares trade around $41 on platforms like Hiive, implying a roughly $15-17 billion valuation based on prior funding rounds and $800 million annual recurring revenue with 250 million monthly active users—positioning the <15 billion market cap outcome at 10.4% if a listing materializes. Monetization pressures in the competitive social-communications sector and lack of public S-1 filing signal potential delays, with traders eyeing upcoming regulatory milestones or withdrawal risks before mid-year resolution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$815,762Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability on no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential SEC filing in early January amid a tepid IPO window for tech platforms. Secondary market shares trade around $41 on platforms like Hiive, implying a roughly $15-17 billion valuation based on prior funding rounds and $800 million annual recurring revenue with 250 million monthly active users—positioning the <15 billion market cap outcome at 10.4% if a listing materializes. Monetization pressures in the competitive social-communications sector and lack of public S-1 filing signal potential delays, with traders eyeing upcoming regulatory milestones or withdrawal risks before mid-year resolution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$815,762Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability on no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential SEC filing in early January amid a tepid IPO window for tech platforms. Secondary market shares trade around $41 on platforms like Hiive, implying a roughly $15-17 billion valuation based on prior funding rounds and $800 million annual recurring revenue with 250 million monthly active users—positioning the <15 billion market cap outcome at 10.4% if a listing materializes. Monetization pressures in the competitive social-communications sector and lack of public S-1 filing signal potential delays, with traders eyeing upcoming regulatory milestones or withdrawal risks before mid-year resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes