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Política·Elecciones Canadienses

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Canadienses

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$5,626,453 Vol.

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$5,626,453 Vol.

Conservatives by >12%

$1,002,694 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 9-12%

$632,661 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 6-9%

$799,994 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 3-6%

$497,004 Vol.

No

Conservatives by 0-3%

$414,492 Vol.

No

Liberals by 0-3%

$614,690 Vol.

Yes

Liberals by 3-6%

$387,321 Vol.

No

Liberals by 6-9%

$416,385 Vol.

No

Liberals by 9-12%

$402,167 Vol.

No

Liberals by 12%

$357,681 Vol.

No

Other

$101,363 Vol.

No

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$5,626,453
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2025, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$5,626,453
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2025
Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2025, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Liberals by 0-3%" con 100%, seguido de "Conservatives by >12%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?" ha generado $5.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?" es "Liberals by 0-3%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Conservatives by >12%" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.