Trader consensus on Polymarket's Bachelorette Season 22 winner market reflects a fragmented field following ABC's abrupt March 19 cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul's season amid a resurfaced domestic violence video and police investigation, dispersing odds from pre-spoilers favorite Doug Mason (now 9.8%). Michael Baba leads narrowly at 33.9% implied probability on his chiropractic healer persona and early filming buzz, edging Conrad Ukropina (29.5%), whose ex-Stanford kicker athletic appeal resonates, while Aaron Kahng (21.3%) gains from Utah ties to the lead and Shane Parton (18.9%) holds via Reality Steve's confirmed final three status including high-profile dates. With no premiere and uncertain rescheduling, spoiler-driven momentum and contestant likability differentiate in this tight race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la temporada 22 de Bachelorette
Ganador de la temporada 22 de Bachelorette
Clayton Johnson 15.5%
Doug Mason 9.8%
Richard Van De Water 4.5%
Rod Strozier 4.3%
$17,747 Vol.
$17,747 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
13%
Doug Mason
10%
Richard Van De Water
5%
Rod Strozier
4%
Christopher Wood
2%
Shane Parton
18%
Johnnie LaRossa
2%
Brandon Perce
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Trenten Merrill
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Matt Carroll
9%
Aaron Kahng
22%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
29%
Michael Baba
34%
Clayton Johnson 15.5%
Doug Mason 9.8%
Richard Van De Water 4.5%
Rod Strozier 4.3%
$17,747 Vol.
$17,747 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
13%
Doug Mason
10%
Richard Van De Water
5%
Rod Strozier
4%
Christopher Wood
2%
Shane Parton
18%
Johnnie LaRossa
2%
Brandon Perce
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Trenten Merrill
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Matt Carroll
9%
Aaron Kahng
22%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
29%
Michael Baba
34%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Bachelorette Season 22 winner market reflects a fragmented field following ABC's abrupt March 19 cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul's season amid a resurfaced domestic violence video and police investigation, dispersing odds from pre-spoilers favorite Doug Mason (now 9.8%). Michael Baba leads narrowly at 33.9% implied probability on his chiropractic healer persona and early filming buzz, edging Conrad Ukropina (29.5%), whose ex-Stanford kicker athletic appeal resonates, while Aaron Kahng (21.3%) gains from Utah ties to the lead and Shane Parton (18.9%) holds via Reality Steve's confirmed final three status including high-profile dates. With no premiere and uncertain rescheduling, spoiler-driven momentum and contestant likability differentiate in this tight race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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