Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for Alphabet retaining its third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.31 trillion valuation—$660 billion ahead of Microsoft ($2.65 trillion) but trailing Apple ($3.66 trillion) by $345 billion. Recent AI stock volatility in 2026, with both Alphabet and Apple down over 6% year-to-date amid a sector reset, has widened the gap below while pressuring Apple shares due to lagging AI strategy announcements versus Alphabet's strong cloud and Gemini integrations. Apple's 25.5% odds reflect bets on further underperformance enabling an overtake, while NVIDIA's lead ($4.07 trillion) appears resilient. Late-April earnings from Microsoft and Amazon loom as key catalysts for ranking shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAlphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 2.1%
Microsoft <1%
$672,504 Vol.
$672,504 Vol.

Alphabet
70%

Apple
26%

NVIDIA
2%

Microsoft
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Oracle
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Tesla
<1%
Alphabet 70%
Apple 26%
NVIDIA 2.1%
Microsoft <1%
$672,504 Vol.
$672,504 Vol.

Alphabet
70%

Apple
26%

NVIDIA
2%

Microsoft
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Oracle
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Tesla
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for Alphabet retaining its third-largest market capitalization by April 30, anchored by its current $3.31 trillion valuation—$660 billion ahead of Microsoft ($2.65 trillion) but trailing Apple ($3.66 trillion) by $345 billion. Recent AI stock volatility in 2026, with both Alphabet and Apple down over 6% year-to-date amid a sector reset, has widened the gap below while pressuring Apple shares due to lagging AI strategy announcements versus Alphabet's strong cloud and Gemini integrations. Apple's 25.5% odds reflect bets on further underperformance enabling an overtake, while NVIDIA's lead ($4.07 trillion) appears resilient. Late-April earnings from Microsoft and Amazon loom as key catalysts for ranking shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes