This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. military carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

U.S. air, missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.

U.S. assistance of Israel or another country carrying out a strike, either through military aid, in-air refueling, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military strike will not alone qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.