Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 11 or more days in March, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging disruptions on over 11 occasions already this month—including intermittent API errors, high latency, and full outages affecting the Claude large language model family. Frequent incidents since early March, such as rate limiting spikes and backend scaling issues amid surging demand post-Claude 3.5 Sonnet release, have eroded reliability perceptions, outpacing historical norms for AI platforms. While no further escalations are needed for resolution, a rare stretch of flawless uptime through month's end could theoretically cap the count under 11, though traders see negligible risk given persistent infrastructure strains and upcoming peak usage from developer integrations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Claude an __ Tagen im März untergehen?
Wird Claude an __ Tagen im März untergehen?
Mehr als 11 100.0%
0 <1%
1-2 <1%
3-4 <1%
$22,662 Vol.
$22,662 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
0
Nein
1-2
Nein
3-4
Nein
5-6
Nein
7-8
Nein
9-10
Nein
Mehr als 11
Ja
Mehr als 11 100.0%
0 <1%
1-2 <1%
3-4 <1%
$22,662 Vol.
$22,662 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
0
$0 Vol.
Nein
1-2
$0 Vol.
Nein
3-4
$0 Vol.
Nein
5-6
$0 Vol.
Nein
7-8
$0 Vol.
Nein
9-10
$6,886 Vol.
Nein
Mehr als 11
$15,776 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 11 or more days in March, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging disruptions on over 11 occasions already this month—including intermittent API errors, high latency, and full outages affecting the Claude large language model family. Frequent incidents since early March, such as rate limiting spikes and backend scaling issues amid surging demand post-Claude 3.5 Sonnet release, have eroded reliability perceptions, outpacing historical norms for AI platforms. While no further escalations are needed for resolution, a rare stretch of flawless uptime through month's end could theoretically cap the count under 11, though traders see negligible risk given persistent infrastructure strains and upcoming peak usage from developer integrations.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Markt eröffnet: Feb 25, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volumen
$22,662Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 25, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 11 or more days in March, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging disruptions on over 11 occasions already this month—including intermittent API errors, high latency, and full outages affecting the Claude large language model family. Frequent incidents since early March, such as rate limiting spikes and backend scaling issues amid surging demand post-Claude 3.5 Sonnet release, have eroded reliability perceptions, outpacing historical norms for AI platforms. While no further escalations are needed for resolution, a rare stretch of flawless uptime through month's end could theoretically cap the count under 11, though traders see negligible risk given persistent infrastructure strains and upcoming peak usage from developer integrations.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volumen
$22,662Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 25, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 11 or more days in March, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging disruptions on over 11 occasions already this month—including intermittent API errors, high latency, and full outages affecting the Claude large language model family. Frequent incidents since early March, such as rate limiting spikes and backend scaling issues amid surging demand post-Claude 3.5 Sonnet release, have eroded reliability perceptions, outpacing historical norms for AI platforms. While no further escalations are needed for resolution, a rare stretch of flawless uptime through month's end could theoretically cap the count under 11, though traders see negligible risk given persistent infrastructure strains and upcoming peak usage from developer integrations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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