Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump engaging Western figures early in April, with Mark Carney at 100% Yes and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 98% Yes following credible reports of their April 1 communications amid Operation Epic Fury against Iran. Elevated odds for UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (75%) and French President Emmanuel Macron (75%) reflect Trump's April 1 remarks referencing recent calls pressuring allies for Strait of Hormuz support, fueling NATO tensions and threats of U.S. withdrawal. Lower probabilities for adversaries like Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian (6%) underscore ongoing airstrikes and bridge destructions, with a congressional War Powers Resolution deadline by April 28 potentially accelerating further diplomacy.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$49,489 Vol.

Mark Carney
100%

Mark Rutte
98%

Keir Starmer
76%

Emmanuel Macron
75%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
56%

Elon Musk
53%

Vladimir Putin
40%

Ursula von der Leyen
39%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Lula da Silva
25%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
6%

Nicolás Maduro
3%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$49,489 Vol.

Mark Carney
100%

Mark Rutte
98%

Keir Starmer
76%

Emmanuel Macron
75%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
56%

Elon Musk
53%

Vladimir Putin
40%

Ursula von der Leyen
39%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Lula da Silva
25%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
6%

Nicolás Maduro
3%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump engaging Western figures early in April, with Mark Carney at 100% Yes and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 98% Yes following credible reports of their April 1 communications amid Operation Epic Fury against Iran. Elevated odds for UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (75%) and French President Emmanuel Macron (75%) reflect Trump's April 1 remarks referencing recent calls pressuring allies for Strait of Hormuz support, fueling NATO tensions and threats of U.S. withdrawal. Lower probabilities for adversaries like Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian (6%) underscore ongoing airstrikes and bridge destructions, with a congressional War Powers Resolution deadline by April 28 potentially accelerating further diplomacy.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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