Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 82.5%, driven by stalled Ukraine-Russia peace talks amid entrenched territorial demands and ongoing military escalation. Recent developments include Zelenskyy's March 26 call for direct leader dialogue to advance negotiations, an Easter truce offer relayed via US mediators on March 31, and Russia's two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum, but these yielded no breakthroughs following February's US-Ukraine-Russia Geneva talks, which excluded the leaders. Putin has conditioned any summit on Ukrainian concessions like ceding eastern regions, while a 2022 Ukrainian decree bars talks with him, reinforcing barriers. Neutral sites like Qatar/UAE or Turkey attract slim odds due to prior mediation roles but lack current momentum, with hostilities persisting per April 1 Russian strikes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKein Treffen vor 2027 83%
Türkei 2.4%
USA 2.4%
Katar / VAE 2.3%
$1,889,144 Vol.
$1,889,144 Vol.

Kein Treffen vor 2027
83%

Türkei
2%

USA
2%

Katar / VAE
2%

Russland
2%

Saudi-Arabien
2%

Ungarn
1%

Schweiz
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

Italien / Vatikan
1%

Indien
1%

Kasachstan
1%
Kein Treffen vor 2027 83%
Türkei 2.4%
USA 2.4%
Katar / VAE 2.3%
$1,889,144 Vol.
$1,889,144 Vol.

Kein Treffen vor 2027
83%

Türkei
2%

USA
2%

Katar / VAE
2%

Russland
2%

Saudi-Arabien
2%

Ungarn
1%

Schweiz
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

Italien / Vatikan
1%

Indien
1%

Kasachstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 82.5%, driven by stalled Ukraine-Russia peace talks amid entrenched territorial demands and ongoing military escalation. Recent developments include Zelenskyy's March 26 call for direct leader dialogue to advance negotiations, an Easter truce offer relayed via US mediators on March 31, and Russia's two-month Donbas withdrawal ultimatum, but these yielded no breakthroughs following February's US-Ukraine-Russia Geneva talks, which excluded the leaders. Putin has conditioned any summit on Ukrainian concessions like ceding eastern regions, while a 2022 Ukrainian decree bars talks with him, reinforcing barriers. Neutral sites like Qatar/UAE or Turkey attract slim odds due to prior mediation roles but lack current momentum, with hostilities persisting per April 1 Russian strikes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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