Trader consensus in the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, 2026, favors retired Army Major General Bert Mizusawa at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting his prominent military background, West Point pedigree, and prior statewide campaigns that provide name recognition in a crowded field lacking polls. David Williams trails at 23%, bolstered by his 30-plus years in the Navy, Marine Corps, State Department, and CIA, positioning him as a strong national security voice. Kim Farington holds 15.3% with the highest fundraising at $88,000 as of December 2025 among filers, signaling organizational momentum. The April 2 filing deadline finalized candidates amid no major endorsements or debates, leaving odds driven by resumes and general election viability against incumbent Mark Warner.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBert Mizusawa 55%
David Williams 24%
Kim Farington 15.2%
Chuck Smith 6.4%
$2,378,170 Vol.
$2,378,170 Vol.
Bert Mizusawa
55%
David Williams
24%
Kim Farington
15%
Chuck Smith
6%
Jason Miyares
2%
Winsome Earle-Sears
1%
Bryce Reeves
1%
Al Mina
1%
Alex De Paula
<1%
Bert Mizusawa 55%
David Williams 24%
Kim Farington 15.2%
Chuck Smith 6.4%
$2,378,170 Vol.
$2,378,170 Vol.
Bert Mizusawa
55%
David Williams
24%
Kim Farington
15%
Chuck Smith
6%
Jason Miyares
2%
Winsome Earle-Sears
1%
Bryce Reeves
1%
Al Mina
1%
Alex De Paula
<1%
If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary, set for August 4, 2026, favors retired Army Major General Bert Mizusawa at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting his prominent military background, West Point pedigree, and prior statewide campaigns that provide name recognition in a crowded field lacking polls. David Williams trails at 23%, bolstered by his 30-plus years in the Navy, Marine Corps, State Department, and CIA, positioning him as a strong national security voice. Kim Farington holds 15.3% with the highest fundraising at $88,000 as of December 2025 among filers, signaling organizational momentum. The April 2 filing deadline finalized candidates amid no major endorsements or debates, leaving odds driven by resumes and general election viability against incumbent Mark Warner.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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