Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 81% in the Vermont gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's enduring popularity and history of landslide wins in the Democratic-leaning state, including a 52-point margin in 2024. Scott, holding 74% approval ratings into early 2026, has filed for the August 11 Republican primary without a formal announcement, fueling expectations of a sixth term amid no term limits. The Democratic field remains thin, with economist Amanda Janoo announcing her candidacy on March 10 as the first challenger, failing to shift odds amid Democrats' struggles to recruit prominent contenders. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with primaries seven months away potentially clarifying fields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikaner
81%
Demokrat
19%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikaner
$2,250 Vol.
81%
Demokrat
$5,189 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 81% in the Vermont gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's enduring popularity and history of landslide wins in the Democratic-leaning state, including a 52-point margin in 2024. Scott, holding 74% approval ratings into early 2026, has filed for the August 11 Republican primary without a formal announcement, fueling expectations of a sixth term amid no term limits. The Democratic field remains thin, with economist Amanda Janoo announcing her candidacy on March 10 as the first challenger, failing to shift odds amid Democrats' struggles to recruit prominent contenders. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with primaries seven months away potentially clarifying fields.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$7,440Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 81% in the Vermont gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's enduring popularity and history of landslide wins in the Democratic-leaning state, including a 52-point margin in 2024. Scott, holding 74% approval ratings into early 2026, has filed for the August 11 Republican primary without a formal announcement, fueling expectations of a sixth term amid no term limits. The Democratic field remains thin, with economist Amanda Janoo announcing her candidacy on March 10 as the first challenger, failing to shift odds amid Democrats' struggles to recruit prominent contenders. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with primaries seven months away potentially clarifying fields.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$7,440Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican victory at 81% in the Vermont gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Phil Scott's enduring popularity and history of landslide wins in the Democratic-leaning state, including a 52-point margin in 2024. Scott, holding 74% approval ratings into early 2026, has filed for the August 11 Republican primary without a formal announcement, fueling expectations of a sixth term amid no term limits. The Democratic field remains thin, with economist Amanda Janoo announcing her candidacy on March 10 as the first challenger, failing to shift odds amid Democrats' struggles to recruit prominent contenders. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, with primaries seven months away potentially clarifying fields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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