Market icon

Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?

$134,485,637 Umsatz

Jan 31, 2026

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$134,485,637
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Market icon

Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?

$134,485,637 Umsatz

31. Januar

$35,698,856 Umsatz

11%

1. Februar

$979,663 Umsatz

15%

2. Februar

$299,433 Umsatz

16%

3. Februar

$73,177 Umsatz

19%

4. Februar

$69,384 Umsatz

20%

5. Februar

$106,979 Umsatz

22%

6. Februar

$1,644,634 Umsatz

27%

13. Februar

$1,145,382 Umsatz

48%

28. Februar

$4,469,397 Umsatz

62%

31. März

$4,330,464 Umsatz

68%

30. Juni

$2,339,097 Umsatz

73%

Über

Volumen
$134,485,637
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.