Tensions between the U.S. and Cuba have escalated following President Trump's March 27 statement labeling "Cuba's next" after recent U.S. military strikes in Venezuela—where Cuban officers were killed—and Iran, amid a tightening oil blockade fueling nationwide blackouts. Cuban Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío stated on March 22 that Havana's military is fully prepared for potential aggression, while a top U.S. general affirmed on March 19 no invasion rehearsals or plans are underway, emphasizing economic sanctions and embassy security. Trader consensus reflects this rhetorical brinkmanship against official denials and historical U.S. restraint on direct military action, with no scheduled summits or votes but ongoing diplomatic signals and energy crises as key risk factors through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertUS-Angriff auf Kuba durch...?
US-Angriff auf Kuba durch...?
$2,788,338 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31. März
1%
31. Dezember
37%
$2,788,338 Vol.
31. März
$1,482,835 Vol.
1%
31. Dezember
$771,026 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the U.S. and Cuba have escalated following President Trump's March 27 statement labeling "Cuba's next" after recent U.S. military strikes in Venezuela—where Cuban officers were killed—and Iran, amid a tightening oil blockade fueling nationwide blackouts. Cuban Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío stated on March 22 that Havana's military is fully prepared for potential aggression, while a top U.S. general affirmed on March 19 no invasion rehearsals or plans are underway, emphasizing economic sanctions and embassy security. Trader consensus reflects this rhetorical brinkmanship against official denials and historical U.S. restraint on direct military action, with no scheduled summits or votes but ongoing diplomatic signals and energy crises as key risk factors through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volumen
$2,788,338Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the U.S. and Cuba have escalated following President Trump's March 27 statement labeling "Cuba's next" after recent U.S. military strikes in Venezuela—where Cuban officers were killed—and Iran, amid a tightening oil blockade fueling nationwide blackouts. Cuban Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío stated on March 22 that Havana's military is fully prepared for potential aggression, while a top U.S. general affirmed on March 19 no invasion rehearsals or plans are underway, emphasizing economic sanctions and embassy security. Trader consensus reflects this rhetorical brinkmanship against official denials and historical U.S. restraint on direct military action, with no scheduled summits or votes but ongoing diplomatic signals and energy crises as key risk factors through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$2,788,338Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between the U.S. and Cuba have escalated following President Trump's March 27 statement labeling "Cuba's next" after recent U.S. military strikes in Venezuela—where Cuban officers were killed—and Iran, amid a tightening oil blockade fueling nationwide blackouts. Cuban Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío stated on March 22 that Havana's military is fully prepared for potential aggression, while a top U.S. general affirmed on March 19 no invasion rehearsals or plans are underway, emphasizing economic sanctions and embassy security. Trader consensus reflects this rhetorical brinkmanship against official denials and historical U.S. restraint on direct military action, with no scheduled summits or votes but ongoing diplomatic signals and energy crises as key risk factors through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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