Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for March 30–April 1 at 65–89 tweets (38.5% implied probability), reflecting his recent daily average of 20–25 posts tracked by analytics like XTracker, extrapolated over three days amid steady viral engagement. A March 27 spike to 71 posts—driven by Tesla Full Self-Driving demos in Europe, Grok AI speedups, and Model Y sales milestones—lifted sentiment toward higher buckets like 90–114 (20.5%), while quieter days like 36 on March 24 temper extremes. Political commentary and company updates fuel fluctuations, with no major events confirmed yet; watch for SpaceX or xAI announcements that could spark another surge, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these skin-in-the-game markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 21%
115-139 9%
$29,509 Vol.
$29,509 Vol.
<40
3%
40-64
27%
65-89
39%
90-114
21%
115-139
9%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 21%
115-139 9%
$29,509 Vol.
$29,509 Vol.
<40
3%
40-64
27%
65-89
39%
90-114
21%
115-139
9%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for March 30–April 1 at 65–89 tweets (38.5% implied probability), reflecting his recent daily average of 20–25 posts tracked by analytics like XTracker, extrapolated over three days amid steady viral engagement. A March 27 spike to 71 posts—driven by Tesla Full Self-Driving demos in Europe, Grok AI speedups, and Model Y sales milestones—lifted sentiment toward higher buckets like 90–114 (20.5%), while quieter days like 36 on March 24 temper extremes. Political commentary and company updates fuel fluctuations, with no major events confirmed yet; watch for SpaceX or xAI announcements that could spark another surge, underscoring the crowd wisdom in these skin-in-the-game markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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