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University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

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University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Danielle Martin 99.4%

Samuel Baxter 1.1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Don Hodgson <1%

Polymarket
NEU

$52,795 Vol.

Danielle Martin 99.4%

Samuel Baxter 1.1%

Andy D’Andrea <1%

Don Hodgson <1%

Polymarket
NEU

$52,795 Vol.

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Danielle Martin

$43,155 Vol.

99%

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Samuel Baxter

$847 Vol.

1%

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Andy D’Andrea

$1,759 Vol.

<1%

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Don Hodgson

$2,266 Vol.

<1%

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Imran Khan

$1,234 Vol.

<1%

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Serena Purdy

$765 Vol.

<1%

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Leslie Bory

$697 Vol.

<1%

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Bill Whatcott

$691 Vol.

<1%

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Andrew Massey

$691 Vol.

<1%

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Raiden DeDominicis

$691 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Danielle Martin commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability to win the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, driven by the riding's status as a longtime Liberal stronghold vacated by former MP Chrystia Freeland in January. Projections from aggregators like PoliWave and 338Canada show her leading by over 40 points against Conservative Don Hodgson and others, bolstered by her profile as an experienced family physician and recent high-profile endorsement from Liberal leader Mark Carney amid advance polls open April 3–6. Strong party canvassing and low expected by-election turnout favor organized Liberal voters. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking scandals, legal challenges to ballots, or anomalous opposition surges, though structural advantages make these improbable.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$52,795
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Danielle Martin commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability to win the University—Rosedale federal by-election on April 13, driven by the riding's status as a longtime Liberal stronghold vacated by former MP Chrystia Freeland in January. Projections from aggregators like PoliWave and 338Canada show her leading by over 40 points against Conservative Don Hodgson and others, bolstered by her profile as an experienced family physician and recent high-profile endorsement from Liberal leader Mark Carney amid advance polls open April 3–6. Strong party canvassing and low expected by-election turnout favor organized Liberal voters. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking scandals, legal challenges to ballots, or anomalous opposition surges, though structural advantages make these improbable.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$52,795
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Danielle Martin" mit 99%, gefolgt von „Samuel Baxter" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $52.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 3, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" ist „Danielle Martin" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Samuel Baxter" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.