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Turnout in 2025 Polish Presidential Election?

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Turnout in 2025 Polish Presidential Election?

70-72% 100.0%

<62% <1%

62-64% <1%

64-66% <1%

Polymarket

$2,911,699 Vol.

70-72% 100.0%

<62% <1%

62-64% <1%

64-66% <1%

Polymarket

$2,911,699 Vol.

<62%

$122,974 Vol.

No

62-64%

$132,554 Vol.

No

64-66%

$231,773 Vol.

No

66-68%

$318,546 Vol.

No

68-70%

$456,114 Vol.

No

70-72%

$548,016 Vol.

Yes

>72%

$1,101,723 Vol.

No

The runoff for the Polish presidential election is scheduled for June 1, 2025.

This market will resolve based on the percentage of the valid number of votes cast out of the number of people entitled to vote in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the validated results of the election, as confirmed by Poland's National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW). The figure used to resolve this market can be found in the row titled "Total" (Razem) under the column titled "Number of valid ballot papers * 100 / Number of people entitled to vote" (Liczba kart ważnych * 100 / Liczba uprawnionych do głosowania) on the National Electoral Commission's official website (https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/frekwencja/pl).

If these results are contested or otherwise unreleased, this market will remain open until official voting results are validated by a resolution (uchwała) adopted by the Supreme Court which is subsequently published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw).
Volumen
$2,911,699
Enddatum
Jun 1, 2025
Markt eröffnet
May 20, 2025, 12:45 PM ET
The runoff for the Polish presidential election is scheduled for June 1, 2025. This market will resolve based on the percentage of the valid number of votes cast out of the number of people entitled to vote in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the validated results of the election, as confirmed by Poland's National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW). The figure used to resolve this market can be found in the row titled "Total" (Razem) under the column titled "Number of valid ballot papers * 100 / Number of people entitled to vote" (Liczba kart ważnych * 100 / Liczba uprawnionych do głosowania) on the National Electoral Commission's official website (https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/frekwencja/pl). If these results are contested or otherwise unreleased, this market will remain open until official voting results are validated by a resolution (uchwała) adopted by the Supreme Court which is subsequently published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2025 Polish Presidential Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70-72%" at 100%, followed by "<62%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2025 Polish Presidential Election?" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2025 Polish Presidential Election?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2025 Polish Presidential Election?" is "70-72%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<62%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2025 Polish Presidential Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.