Trader consensus favors 59-60% voter turnout for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election at 54%, aligning with historical averages from recent cycles—around 57-69%—adjusted downward amid ongoing security concerns from gang violence and economic pressures that historically dampen participation. In the past month, no major turnout polls have surfaced, but voter registration drives concluded with only modest growth in the eligible electorate to about 6 million, fueling caution against higher brackets. Persistent electoral disputes, including opposition challenges to registry accuracy, reinforce trader skepticism for >60% outcomes, while <56% reflects fears of apathy in a polarized race between Libre's Rixi Moncada and National Party's Nasry Asfura. Campaign rallies and potential snap polls ahead could sway sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWahlbeteiligung bei den honduranischen Parlamentswahlen 2025 (kleinere Klammern)
Wahlbeteiligung bei den honduranischen Parlamentswahlen 2025 (kleinere Klammern)
59-60% 53.9%
<56 % 15.0%
58–59 % 13.4%
60-61 % 4.8%
$232,688 Vol.
$232,688 Vol.
<56 %
13%
56-57 %
3%
57-58 %
3%
58–59 %
13%
59-60%
54%
60-61 %
5%
61-62 %
4%
>62 %
3%
59-60% 53.9%
<56 % 15.0%
58–59 % 13.4%
60-61 % 4.8%
$232,688 Vol.
$232,688 Vol.
<56 %
13%
56-57 %
3%
57-58 %
3%
58–59 %
13%
59-60%
54%
60-61 %
5%
61-62 %
4%
>62 %
3%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 59-60% voter turnout for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election at 54%, aligning with historical averages from recent cycles—around 57-69%—adjusted downward amid ongoing security concerns from gang violence and economic pressures that historically dampen participation. In the past month, no major turnout polls have surfaced, but voter registration drives concluded with only modest growth in the eligible electorate to about 6 million, fueling caution against higher brackets. Persistent electoral disputes, including opposition challenges to registry accuracy, reinforce trader skepticism for >60% outcomes, while <56% reflects fears of apathy in a polarized race between Libre's Rixi Moncada and National Party's Nasry Asfura. Campaign rallies and potential snap polls ahead could sway sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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