Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño as the winner of Sucre's mayoral election in Bolivia's March 7, 2024, subnational vote, with implied probabilities aligning closely to preliminary quick counts from the Chuquisaca electoral tribunal showing him near 50% support. Leaño's lead stems from strong backing in urban Sucre districts, bolstered by his prior council experience and focus on infrastructure amid departmental economic challenges. Trailing candidates like Cristian Sanabria (opposition Comunidad Ciudadana) and Hebert Marcelo Terrazas (MAS-affiliated) reflect divided MAS votes and weaker rural mobilization. Recent developments include ongoing vote scrutiny without major disputes, with official results expected soon, sustaining Leaño's frontrunner status amid stable polling trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sucre (Bolivien)
Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sucre (Bolivien)
Enrique Leaño 60.1%
Cristian Sanabria 6%
Horacio Poppe 3.9%
Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López 3.4%
$23,859 Vol.
$23,859 Vol.

Enrique Leaño
51%

Cristian Sanabria
15%

Horacio Poppe
4%

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
3%

Juan Antonio Jesús
10%

Richard Moscoso
3%

Pablo Arízaga
8%

Franz Tata García
1%

Cecilia Calani
1%

Fátima Tardío
1%

Wilber Chocamani
9%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
15%
Enrique Leaño 60.1%
Cristian Sanabria 6%
Horacio Poppe 3.9%
Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López 3.4%
$23,859 Vol.
$23,859 Vol.

Enrique Leaño
51%

Cristian Sanabria
15%

Horacio Poppe
4%

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
3%

Juan Antonio Jesús
10%

Richard Moscoso
3%

Pablo Arízaga
8%

Franz Tata García
1%

Cecilia Calani
1%

Fátima Tardío
1%

Wilber Chocamani
9%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
15%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño as the winner of Sucre's mayoral election in Bolivia's March 7, 2024, subnational vote, with implied probabilities aligning closely to preliminary quick counts from the Chuquisaca electoral tribunal showing him near 50% support. Leaño's lead stems from strong backing in urban Sucre districts, bolstered by his prior council experience and focus on infrastructure amid departmental economic challenges. Trailing candidates like Cristian Sanabria (opposition Comunidad Ciudadana) and Hebert Marcelo Terrazas (MAS-affiliated) reflect divided MAS votes and weaker rural mobilization. Recent developments include ongoing vote scrutiny without major disputes, with official results expected soon, sustaining Leaño's frontrunner status amid stable polling trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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