Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to file confidential IPO paperwork as soon as this week, targeting a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation driven by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and projected 80% revenue growth to nearly $19 billion in 2026. This has propelled trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting the company's December 2025 tender offer baseline of $800 billion nearly doubling amid reusable rocket milestones like Starship tests and over 10,000 Starlink satellites launched. Higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (24%) capture optimism on further Starlink user adoption, while low odds on no IPO before 2028 (2.4%) underscore momentum; watch for S-1 filing and Wall Street bank engagements as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1.849T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$761,555 Vol.
$761,555 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
3%
No IPO before 2028
2%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$761,555 Vol.
$761,555 Vol.
<1.0T
$9,428 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$6,640 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$8,550 Vol.
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,442 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$378,001 Vol.
5%
3.0T-3.5T
$332,650 Vol.
3%
3,5T+
$9,278 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$11,240 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to file confidential IPO paperwork as soon as this week, targeting a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation driven by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and projected 80% revenue growth to nearly $19 billion in 2026. This has propelled trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting the company's December 2025 tender offer baseline of $800 billion nearly doubling amid reusable rocket milestones like Starship tests and over 10,000 Starlink satellites launched. Higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (24%) capture optimism on further Starlink user adoption, while low odds on no IPO before 2028 (2.4%) underscore momentum; watch for S-1 filing and Wall Street bank engagements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$761,555Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to file confidential IPO paperwork as soon as this week, targeting a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation driven by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and projected 80% revenue growth to nearly $19 billion in 2026. This has propelled trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting the company's December 2025 tender offer baseline of $800 billion nearly doubling amid reusable rocket milestones like Starship tests and over 10,000 Starlink satellites launched. Higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (24%) capture optimism on further Starlink user adoption, while low odds on no IPO before 2028 (2.4%) underscore momentum; watch for S-1 filing and Wall Street bank engagements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$761,555Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to file confidential IPO paperwork as soon as this week, targeting a $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation driven by Starlink's satellite constellation expansion and projected 80% revenue growth to nearly $19 billion in 2026. This has propelled trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting the company's December 2025 tender offer baseline of $800 billion nearly doubling amid reusable rocket milestones like Starship tests and over 10,000 Starlink satellites launched. Higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (24%) capture optimism on further Starlink user adoption, while low odds on no IPO before 2028 (2.4%) underscore momentum; watch for S-1 filing and Wall Street bank engagements as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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