Reports of SpaceX preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion, have propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5 trillion to $2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, aligning with recent credible valuations from $1.5 trillion (Financial Times, January) to over $1.75 trillion (Bloomberg, February). Starlink's expanding satellite internet constellation and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones, including an imminent V3 first flight, underpin this pricing amid cash-flow positivity and secondary tender offers. The low 1.8% odds on no IPO before 2028 reflect urgency, though regulatory reviews and market conditions could influence final sizing; watch for filing confirmation and Starship test outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1.849T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$684,731 Vol.
$684,731 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
3%
No IPO before 2028
2%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$684,731 Vol.
$684,731 Vol.
<1.0T
$9,428 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$6,631 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$8,536 Vol.
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,442 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$305,489 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$332,639 Vol.
3%
3,5T+
$9,278 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$8,530 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Reports of SpaceX preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion, have propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5 trillion to $2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, aligning with recent credible valuations from $1.5 trillion (Financial Times, January) to over $1.75 trillion (Bloomberg, February). Starlink's expanding satellite internet constellation and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones, including an imminent V3 first flight, underpin this pricing amid cash-flow positivity and secondary tender offers. The low 1.8% odds on no IPO before 2028 reflect urgency, though regulatory reviews and market conditions could influence final sizing; watch for filing confirmation and Starship test outcomes.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$684,731Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Reports of SpaceX preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion, have propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5 trillion to $2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, aligning with recent credible valuations from $1.5 trillion (Financial Times, January) to over $1.75 trillion (Bloomberg, February). Starlink's expanding satellite internet constellation and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones, including an imminent V3 first flight, underpin this pricing amid cash-flow positivity and secondary tender offers. The low 1.8% odds on no IPO before 2028 reflect urgency, though regulatory reviews and market conditions could influence final sizing; watch for filing confirmation and Starship test outcomes.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$684,731Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Reports of SpaceX preparing to file its IPO prospectus this week, potentially raising a record $75 billion, have propelled trader consensus toward a closing market cap of $1.5 trillion to $2.0 trillion at 52.5% implied probability, aligning with recent credible valuations from $1.5 trillion (Financial Times, January) to over $1.75 trillion (Bloomberg, February). Starlink's expanding satellite internet constellation and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones, including an imminent V3 first flight, underpin this pricing amid cash-flow positivity and secondary tender offers. The low 1.8% odds on no IPO before 2028 reflect urgency, though regulatory reviews and market conditions could influence final sizing; watch for filing confirmation and Starship test outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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