Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDiscord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Discord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 77%
<15 Mrd. $ 13.5%
15–20 Mrd. 3.8%
25–30 Mrd. 1.4%
$870,699 Vol.
$870,699 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<15 Mrd. $
13%
15–20 Mrd.
4%
20–25 Mrd.
1%
25–30 Mrd.
1%
30 Mrd.+
1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
77%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 77%
<15 Mrd. $ 13.5%
15–20 Mrd. 3.8%
25–30 Mrd. 1.4%
$870,699 Vol.
$870,699 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
<15 Mrd. $
$296,513 Vol.
13%
15–20 Mrd.
$107,187 Vol.
4%
20–25 Mrd.
$73,620 Vol.
1%
25–30 Mrd.
$105,568 Vol.
1%
30 Mrd.+
$98,233 Vol.
1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$189,578 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$870,699Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$870,699Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an overwhelming 77% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled momentum since the company's confidential S-1 filing in January amid softening tech valuations and struggling public peers like social platforms. Reports of delays surfaced in March as bankers cited market volatility and profitability challenges—Discord's estimated $600–900 million annual recurring revenue supports only modest growth multiples, capping upside at sub-$15 billion market cap (13.1% odds) versus its 2021 $15 billion private valuation. Higher brackets like 30B+ (1.3%) face steep barriers from competition and margin pressures. Watch for public filing or roadshow signals, with equity windows reopening per recent board deliberations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen