Databricks' CEO explicitly ruled out a 2026 IPO in June, citing an oversaturated calendar, which has driven the 63.5% market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Recent private funding momentum, including a July 2026 term sheet for a round at a $188 billion valuation following the $134 billion Series L, underscores strong AI and data platform demand with $5.4 billion annualized revenue run-rate growth. These factors position mid-to-high hundred-billion-dollar closing market caps as plausible outcomes should an IPO materialize in 2027 or later, while the absence of an S-1 filing and preference for private capital sustain elevated odds of further delays.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDatabricks IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
150–200 Mrd. $ 89%
450 Mrd. $+ 89%
<150 Mrd. $ 86%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 64%
<150 Mrd. $
86%
150–200 Mrd. $
89%
200–250 Mrd. $
38%
250–300 Mrd. US-Dollar
34%
300 Mrd. $–350 Mrd. $
28%
350 Mrd. $–400 Mrd. $
41%
$400 Mrd.–$450 Mrd.
50%
450 Mrd. $+
89%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
64%
150–200 Mrd. $ 89%
450 Mrd. $+ 89%
<150 Mrd. $ 86%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 64%
<150 Mrd. $
86%
150–200 Mrd. $
89%
200–250 Mrd. $
38%
250–300 Mrd. US-Dollar
34%
300 Mrd. $–350 Mrd. $
28%
350 Mrd. $–400 Mrd. $
41%
$400 Mrd.–$450 Mrd.
50%
450 Mrd. $+
89%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
64%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' CEO explicitly ruled out a 2026 IPO in June, citing an oversaturated calendar, which has driven the 63.5% market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Recent private funding momentum, including a July 2026 term sheet for a round at a $188 billion valuation following the $134 billion Series L, underscores strong AI and data platform demand with $5.4 billion annualized revenue run-rate growth. These factors position mid-to-high hundred-billion-dollar closing market caps as plausible outcomes should an IPO materialize in 2027 or later, while the absence of an S-1 filing and preference for private capital sustain elevated odds of further delays.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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