Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects closely contested implied probabilities, with No IPO at 18.5% edging out 500–750B at 17.5%, amid internal leadership tensions and lofty valuation scrutiny. CEO Sam Altman's push for a late-2026 listing clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timing, given projected 2026 cash burn near $19 billion against $25 billion revenue and breakeven not until 2029–2030. The March 31 funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—now questioned by investors as Anthropic narrows the revenue gap and eyes an earlier IPO—but regulatory probes like Florida's ChatGPT inquiry add hurdles. Key swing factors include enterprise revenue acceleration, compute cost control exceeding $20 billion for Cerebras chips alone, and AI sector multiples amid macroeconomic risk appetite.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 18%
500–750 Mrd. 17%
1–1,25 Billionen 12%
1,25T–1,5T 10%
$15,276 Vol.
$15,276 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<500 Mrd.
6%
500–750 Mrd.
17%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio.
9%
1–1,25 Billionen
12%
1,25T–1,5T
10%
1,5T+
10%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
18%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 18%
500–750 Mrd. 17%
1–1,25 Billionen 12%
1,25T–1,5T 10%
$15,276 Vol.
$15,276 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<500 Mrd.
$97 Vol.
6%
500–750 Mrd.
$245 Vol.
17%
750 Mrd.–1 Bio.
$244 Vol.
9%
1–1,25 Billionen
$3,101 Vol.
12%
1,25T–1,5T
$255 Vol.
10%
1,5T+
$71 Vol.
10%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
$11,264 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects closely contested implied probabilities, with No IPO at 18.5% edging out 500–750B at 17.5%, amid internal leadership tensions and lofty valuation scrutiny. CEO Sam Altman's push for a late-2026 listing clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timing, given projected 2026 cash burn near $19 billion against $25 billion revenue and breakeven not until 2029–2030. The March 31 funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—now questioned by investors as Anthropic narrows the revenue gap and eyes an earlier IPO—but regulatory probes like Florida's ChatGPT inquiry add hurdles. Key swing factors include enterprise revenue acceleration, compute cost control exceeding $20 billion for Cerebras chips alone, and AI sector multiples amid macroeconomic risk appetite.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$15,276Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects closely contested implied probabilities, with No IPO at 18.5% edging out 500–750B at 17.5%, amid internal leadership tensions and lofty valuation scrutiny. CEO Sam Altman's push for a late-2026 listing clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timing, given projected 2026 cash burn near $19 billion against $25 billion revenue and breakeven not until 2029–2030. The March 31 funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—now questioned by investors as Anthropic narrows the revenue gap and eyes an earlier IPO—but regulatory probes like Florida's ChatGPT inquiry add hurdles. Key swing factors include enterprise revenue acceleration, compute cost control exceeding $20 billion for Cerebras chips alone, and AI sector multiples amid macroeconomic risk appetite.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$15,276Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap by December 31, 2027, reflects closely contested implied probabilities, with No IPO at 18.5% edging out 500–750B at 17.5%, amid internal leadership tensions and lofty valuation scrutiny. CEO Sam Altman's push for a late-2026 listing clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings of aggressive timing, given projected 2026 cash burn near $19 billion against $25 billion revenue and breakeven not until 2029–2030. The March 31 funding round secured $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—now questioned by investors as Anthropic narrows the revenue gap and eyes an earlier IPO—but regulatory probes like Florida's ChatGPT inquiry add hurdles. Key swing factors include enterprise revenue acceleration, compute cost control exceeding $20 billion for Cerebras chips alone, and AI sector multiples amid macroeconomic risk appetite.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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