Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert600 Mrd.+ 83%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 13%
400–600 Mrd. 2.3%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$191,758 Vol.
$191,758 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<100 Mrd. $
1%
100–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
1%
400–600 Mrd.
2%
600 Mrd.+
83%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
13%
600 Mrd.+ 83%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 13%
400–600 Mrd. 2.3%
300–400 Mrd. <1%
$191,758 Vol.
$191,758 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<100 Mrd. $
$61,060 Vol.
1%
100–200 Mrd.
$50,672 Vol.
<1%
200–300 Mrd.
$6,394 Vol.
<1%
300–400 Mrd.
$46,079 Vol.
1%
400–600 Mrd.
$7,185 Vol.
2%
600 Mrd.+
$10,314 Vol.
83%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
$10,055 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volumen
$191,758Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$191,758Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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