Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No IPO before 2028" at 46% implied probability, driven by Perplexity AI CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until after 2027 amid robust private funding, with no subsequent updates signaling a reversal as of early 2026. The AI search engine's September 2025 $200 million raise at a $20 billion valuation—up from $18 billion months prior—bolsters 40B–50B (19.8%) and 50B–75B (20.5%) bins as leading IPO outcomes, reflecting $200 million annual recurring revenue by late 2025 and projections for $656 million by year-end via products like Perplexity Computer, which orchestrates third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Model fragmentation sustains its routing-layer moat, though consolidation risks linger; watch enterprise adoption and Q2 2026 funding for sentiment shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPerplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Perplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 48%
40–50 Mrd. 16.8%
50–75 Mrd. 7.8%
75–100 Mrd. $ 4.8%
$124,348 Vol.
$124,348 Vol.
<20 Mrd.
3%
20–30 Mrd.
3%
30–40 Mrd.
4%
40–50 Mrd.
20%
50–75 Mrd.
21%
75–100 Mrd. $
5%
100B+
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
48%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 48%
40–50 Mrd. 16.8%
50–75 Mrd. 7.8%
75–100 Mrd. $ 4.8%
$124,348 Vol.
$124,348 Vol.
<20 Mrd.
3%
20–30 Mrd.
3%
30–40 Mrd.
4%
40–50 Mrd.
20%
50–75 Mrd.
21%
75–100 Mrd. $
5%
100B+
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
48%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No IPO before 2028" at 46% implied probability, driven by Perplexity AI CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until after 2027 amid robust private funding, with no subsequent updates signaling a reversal as of early 2026. The AI search engine's September 2025 $200 million raise at a $20 billion valuation—up from $18 billion months prior—bolsters 40B–50B (19.8%) and 50B–75B (20.5%) bins as leading IPO outcomes, reflecting $200 million annual recurring revenue by late 2025 and projections for $656 million by year-end via products like Perplexity Computer, which orchestrates third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google. Model fragmentation sustains its routing-layer moat, though consolidation risks linger; watch enterprise adoption and Q2 2026 funding for sentiment shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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