Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No IPO before 2028" at a leading 47% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's absence of any S-1 filing or public IPO signals despite explosive growth to an estimated $450–500 million annualized recurring revenue in early 2026 and over 230 million monthly active users. The AI-powered search engine's private valuation stabilized around $20 billion following a $200 million funding round in September 2025, with CEO Aravind Srinivas signaling a 2028 target amid ongoing publisher lawsuits from The New York Times and others over content scraping. Mid-range outcomes like 50B–75B (13%) and 40B–50B (10%) gain traction from revenue scaling and enterprise adoption, but competitive pressures from Google AI Overviews and OpenAI's SearchGPT temper higher buckets; watch for Q2 2026 earnings hints or regulatory resolutions as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPerplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Perplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 47%
50–75 Mrd. 12.7%
75–100 Mrd. $ 10.2%
<20 Mrd. 6.5%
$139,792 Vol.
$139,792 Vol.
<20 Mrd.
7%
20–30 Mrd.
4%
30–40 Mrd.
6%
40–50 Mrd.
10%
50–75 Mrd.
13%
75–100 Mrd. $
10%
100B+
6%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
47%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 47%
50–75 Mrd. 12.7%
75–100 Mrd. $ 10.2%
<20 Mrd. 6.5%
$139,792 Vol.
$139,792 Vol.
<20 Mrd.
7%
20–30 Mrd.
4%
30–40 Mrd.
6%
40–50 Mrd.
10%
50–75 Mrd.
13%
75–100 Mrd. $
10%
100B+
6%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
47%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No IPO before 2028" at a leading 47% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's absence of any S-1 filing or public IPO signals despite explosive growth to an estimated $450–500 million annualized recurring revenue in early 2026 and over 230 million monthly active users. The AI-powered search engine's private valuation stabilized around $20 billion following a $200 million funding round in September 2025, with CEO Aravind Srinivas signaling a 2028 target amid ongoing publisher lawsuits from The New York Times and others over content scraping. Mid-range outcomes like 50B–75B (13%) and 40B–50B (10%) gain traction from revenue scaling and enterprise adoption, but competitive pressures from Google AI Overviews and OpenAI's SearchGPT temper higher buckets; watch for Q2 2026 earnings hints or regulatory resolutions as key catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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