Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 50B–75B (28.7%) and 40B–50B (20.9%) market caps, reflecting uncertainty over timing despite the AI search startup's explosive growth to $200 million annual recurring revenue and $20 billion-plus private valuation from recent funding rounds. CEO Aravind Srinivas signaled 2028 listing ambitions with no nearer plans, bolstered by a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model access via Foundry, powering the new "Computer" platform that routes queries across 19 large language models like Claude, Gemini, and Grok without proprietary training. Competitive risks loom if model providers consolidate orchestration capabilities, eroding Perplexity's routing moat; key swing factors include hitting $656 million 2026 revenue targets via enterprise subscriptions and broader AI IPO market conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPerplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Perplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 38%
40–50 Mrd. 16.8%
50–75 Mrd. 7.8%
100B+ 4.5%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<20 Mrd.
3%
20–30 Mrd.
3%
30–40 Mrd.
4%
40–50 Mrd.
21%
50–75 Mrd.
29%
75–100 Mrd. $
3%
100B+
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
38%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 38%
40–50 Mrd. 16.8%
50–75 Mrd. 7.8%
100B+ 4.5%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<20 Mrd.
$4,381 Vol.
3%
20–30 Mrd.
$5,711 Vol.
3%
30–40 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
4%
40–50 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
21%
50–75 Mrd.
$6,171 Vol.
29%
75–100 Mrd. $
$3,177 Vol.
3%
100B+
$0 Vol.
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
$104,914 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 50B–75B (28.7%) and 40B–50B (20.9%) market caps, reflecting uncertainty over timing despite the AI search startup's explosive growth to $200 million annual recurring revenue and $20 billion-plus private valuation from recent funding rounds. CEO Aravind Srinivas signaled 2028 listing ambitions with no nearer plans, bolstered by a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model access via Foundry, powering the new "Computer" platform that routes queries across 19 large language models like Claude, Gemini, and Grok without proprietary training. Competitive risks loom if model providers consolidate orchestration capabilities, eroding Perplexity's routing moat; key swing factors include hitting $656 million 2026 revenue targets via enterprise subscriptions and broader AI IPO market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$124,354Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 50B–75B (28.7%) and 40B–50B (20.9%) market caps, reflecting uncertainty over timing despite the AI search startup's explosive growth to $200 million annual recurring revenue and $20 billion-plus private valuation from recent funding rounds. CEO Aravind Srinivas signaled 2028 listing ambitions with no nearer plans, bolstered by a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model access via Foundry, powering the new "Computer" platform that routes queries across 19 large language models like Claude, Gemini, and Grok without proprietary training. Competitive risks loom if model providers consolidate orchestration capabilities, eroding Perplexity's routing moat; key swing factors include hitting $656 million 2026 revenue targets via enterprise subscriptions and broader AI IPO market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$124,354Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 50B–75B (28.7%) and 40B–50B (20.9%) market caps, reflecting uncertainty over timing despite the AI search startup's explosive growth to $200 million annual recurring revenue and $20 billion-plus private valuation from recent funding rounds. CEO Aravind Srinivas signaled 2028 listing ambitions with no nearer plans, bolstered by a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure commitment for multi-model access via Foundry, powering the new "Computer" platform that routes queries across 19 large language models like Claude, Gemini, and Grok without proprietary training. Competitive risks loom if model providers consolidate orchestration capabilities, eroding Perplexity's routing moat; key swing factors include hitting $656 million 2026 revenue targets via enterprise subscriptions and broader AI IPO market conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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